BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Sousa
Match Timeline
America-RN
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
29'
Charles
America-RN
45'
Matheus Regis · Assist: Alisson Taddei
America-RN
50'
Everton Heleno · Assist: Everton Heleno
Sousa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.4%
-
BTTS No
71.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sousa Win 41.2%
Draw 17.7%
America-RN Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sousa0.54
America-RN1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sousa Sousa
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
America-RN America-RN
WLDWL
13 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sousa Sousa 11 matches
America-RN America-RN 10 matches
Sousa Statistic America-RN
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 1
7 Goals For 13
10 Goals Against 4
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by America-RN's more proactive style and Sousa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward America-RN having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. America-RN carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 18 points while Sousa sit 4 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America-RN.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 10 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 4:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

America-RN Analysis

America-RN come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 18 points from 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 12:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alisson Taddei (2 goals), Matheus Regis (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sousa won 1 times, America-RN won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:17 from Sousa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Sousa wins 1, draws 1, America-RN wins 8
Last matches: Sousa
01.06.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
10.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Pombal
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
Last matches: America-RN
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
H2H: Sousa vs America-RN
14.06.26
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
04.04.26
H2H
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
L
11.06.25
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
L
27.06.24
H2H
America-RN
Sousa
1
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
2
L
17.04.22
H2H
America-RN
Sousa
2
1
L
24.07.21
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
America-RN
Sousa
4
1
L
Last matches: Sousa
23.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sousa
Laguna
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sousa
ABC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sousa
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Sousa
Potiguar Mossoró
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Sousa
Treze
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Sousa
Horizonte
3
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
25.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
11.05.25
Ser
Sousa
Ferroviario
4
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Sousa
Central SC
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sousa
14.06.26
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
11.06.25
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
2
L
24.07.21
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
L
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
0
1
L
09.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
2
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
0
0
D
H2H away: America-RN
14.06.26
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
W
11.06.25
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
1
2
W
24.07.21
H2H
Sousa
America-RN
0
2
W

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Home
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)