NORWAY 1. DIVISION
13.09.2026 15:00
Fosshaugane Campus
Referee: A. Al Hatem
Sogndal
Match Timeline
Strommen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
T. Ogboji
Strommen
🔄
41'
A. Barkarson ↔ E. L. Hillestad
Sogndal
🔄
46'
K. Harrison ↔ L. Gausdal
Sogndal
🟨
53'
E. Hovland
Sogndal
🔄
70'
S. Beck ↔ E. Rogne
Strommen
🔄
70'
A. Nord ↔ G. Grobelnik
Strommen
75'
K. Arierhi
Sogndal
🔄
82'
T. Ogboji ↔ N. Ohr
Strommen
🔄
82'
K. Somesi ↔ M. Moldskred
Strommen
🟨
84'
S. Haruna
Sogndal
🔄
85'
K. Arierhi ↔ O. Helen
Sogndal
🔄
87'
J. Kristengard ↔ T. Benjamin
Strommen
88'
G. Grobelnik
Strommen
🟨
90'
M. Balatoni
Strommen
🔄
90+1'
L. Vapne ↔ P. Asp
Sogndal

Sogndal vs Strommen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.2%
1.89
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.06
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Sogndal Win 51.2%
Draw 10.9%
Strommen Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sogndal1.93
Strommen1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sogndal Sogndal
WWDLW
58 GF / 66 GA
Strommen Strommen
WLDWL
46 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.03
21
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sogndal Sogndal 31 matches
Strommen Strommen 30 matches
Sogndal Statistic Strommen
9 Wins 12
8 Draws 3
14 Losses 15
58 Goals For 46
66 Goals Against 61
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.03
21 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 22
18 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Strommen. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Strommen having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sogndal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal sit 14 with 22 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 36:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Strommen Analysis

So far, Strommen have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 24 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 32:47 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal won 5 times, Strommen won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from Sogndal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: Sogndal wins 5, draws 2, Strommen wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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