BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
16.05.2026 12:00
Yunost Stadium
Smorgon
Match Timeline
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
N. Knyshev
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🟨
38'
D. Khalimonchikov
Smorgon
🔄
46'
E. Mychelkin ↔ J. Nsangou
Smorgon
🔄
46'
N. Knyshev ↔ A. Konyakhin
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🟨
54'
V. Prigodich
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🔄
56'
A. Devyaten ↔ A. Stankevich
Smorgon
🔄
63'
M. Yaskevich ↔ V. Lisovskiy
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🔄
63'
A. Slivin ↔ A. Mazko
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🔄
69'
D. Khalimonchikov ↔ I. Sivkov
Smorgon
🔄
79'
A. Kartoev ↔ M. Nikiforenko
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🔄
79'
M. Korytko ↔ T. Isaev
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
🔄
81'
M. Dukso ↔ V. Galko
Smorgon
⚽
89'
D. Chul
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Smorgon vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 13.8%
Draw 16.5%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Win 69.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon0.99
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
9 GF / 16 GA
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
WLDWL
17 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 10 matches
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 8 matches
Smorgon Statistic FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
9 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 9
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk's more proactive style and Smorgon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 11 points while Smorgon sit 15 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Smorgon Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Smorgon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Devyaten (1 goals), V. Kovalevich (1 goals), V. Myzgin (1 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 11 points from 6 games, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Chul (3 goals), M. Korytko (3 goals), A. Slivin (2 goals), with creative support from V. Prigodich (3 assists), D. Chul (2 assists), A. Slivin (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 3 times, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:26 from Smorgon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.2%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 3, draws 3, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk wins 7

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 3 6 63:31 32 51
L W W W L
2 25 15 6 4 48:24 24 51
W W D W D
3 26 16 3 7 49:43 6 51
W L W W W
4 25 14 5 6 48:30 18 47
W L W W L
5 26 14 4 8 48:31 17 46
W W D W L
6 25 14 3 8 44:36 8 45
W D W W W
7 25 11 4 10 47:37 10 37
W L L L W
8 25 10 6 9 49:43 6 36
W W D L L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 25 10 4 11 40:44 -4 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 9 8 35:37 -2 33
L W W W W
12 26 8 6 12 31:36 -5 30
L W W D L
13 25 9 3 13 36:46 -10 30
D L L L D
14 25 7 5 13 27:46 -19 26
L D L W L
15 25 6 7 12 24:34 -10 25
L L D L W
16 25 5 6 14 33:48 -15 21
L L L D L
17 26 5 6 15 35:60 -25 21
L L W L D
18 25 5 3 17 26:62 -36 18
D L L L W