CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
12.09.2026 13:00
Stadion U Nisy

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.4%
1.17
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Slovan Liberec Win 41.7%
Draw 19.7%
Mlada Boleslav Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovan Liberec1.53
Mlada Boleslav1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
WWDLW
27 GF / 15 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
44 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
2.59
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
14
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 16 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 17 matches
Slovan Liberec Statistic Mlada Boleslav
11 Wins 12
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
27 Goals For 44
15 Goals Against 22
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 2.59
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 1
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.67
15.71 Total Shots 12.5
5.71 Corners 4.83
45.3% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovan Liberec expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Mlada Boleslav. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Slovan Liberec Analysis

Slovan Liberec approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Aziz Kayondo (1 goals), Lukáš Mašek (1 goals), Patrik Dulay (1 goals), with creative support from Vasil Kušej (1 assists), Petr Juliš (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 11 points from 5 games, Mlada Boleslav bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 11:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Jiří Klíma (3 goals), Martin Šubert (2 goals), Solomon John (1 goals), with creative support from Solomon John (2 assists), Jiří Klíma (1 assists), Martin Králik (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovan Liberec won 6 times, Mlada Boleslav won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Slovan Liberec's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Slovan Liberec 3-4-2-1 / Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Slovan Liberec wins 6, draws 5, Mlada Boleslav wins 4

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 21:5 16 17
W W D D W
2 7 5 1 1 10:4 6 16
W W W D W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
W W D W D
4 7 4 1 2 13:8 5 13
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
W L D L W
6 7 4 1 2 15:13 2 13
W W L L D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 6:6 0 11
D W L L W
9 7 2 4 1 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
10 7 3 0 4 13:12 1 9
L L W W L
11 7 3 0 4 4:13 -9 9
L L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D W D
13 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
L W L L L
14 7 0 3 4 5:12 -7 3
D D L L L
15 7 0 2 5 5:12 -7 2
D L L D L
16 7 0 0 7 6:16 -10 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs