CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty
Referee: D. Stary
Slovácko
Match Timeline
Mlada Boleslav
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
J. Kolarik · Assist: F. Lehky
Mlada Boleslav
27'
J. Kolarik · Assist: O. Karafiat
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
46'
T. Kostadinov ↔ M. Krmencik
Slovácko
🔄
46'
M. Travnik ↔ M. Havlik
Slovácko
🔄
46'
A. Fiala ↔ A. Marinelli
Slovácko
🔄
61'
C. Kabongo ↔ J. Klima
Mlada Boleslav
62'
J. Klima · Assist: O. Karafiat
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
67'
M. Rundic ↔ J. Mulder
Slovácko
🔄
74'
D. Langhamer ↔ D. Kostka
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
74'
J. Kolarik ↔ M. Subert
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
77'
P. Juroska ↔ J. Suchan
Slovácko
🔄
82'
F. Lehky ↔ N. Penner
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
82'
D. Donat ↔ J. Zika
Mlada Boleslav
VAR
84'
Martin Koscelník
Slovácko

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slovácko Win 25.6%
Draw 5.1%
Mlada Boleslav Win 69.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovácko1.21
Mlada Boleslav1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovácko Slovácko
WWDLW
30 GF / 47 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
46 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
15
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
20
3.61
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovácko Slovácko 33 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 matches
Slovácko Statistic Mlada Boleslav
7 Wins 8
9 Draws 13
17 Losses 12
30 Goals For 46
47 Goals Against 55
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
15 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 8
3.61 Shots On Goal 4.39
11.97 Total Shots 12.36
4.3 Corners 4.52
50.6% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovácko expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mlada Boleslav. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Slovácko have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Slovácko Analysis

With 23 points from 30 games and a place of 15, Slovácko still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats with a 26:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Ouanda (3 goals), Daniel Tetour (3 goals), J. Suchan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Havlik (4 assists), Gigli Ndefe (2 assists), A. Ouanda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Mlada Boleslav have collected 35 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 44:52 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sevcik (9 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovácko won 6 times, Mlada Boleslav won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Slovácko's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Slovácko 3-4-2-1 / Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Slovácko wins 6, draws 6, Mlada Boleslav wins 3

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation