CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
19.09.2026 16:00
Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slovácko Win 34.6%
Draw 29.7%
Baník Ostrava Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovácko1.34
Baník Ostrava1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovácko Slovácko
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
25 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
13
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
11
3.57
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovácko Slovácko 16 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 18 matches
Slovácko Statistic Baník Ostrava
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 1
7 Losses 9
19 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 28
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
13 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
3.57 Shots On Goal 3.14
11.86 Total Shots 11.86
4.14 Corners 5.14
49.9% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baník Ostrava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovácko expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control. Baník Ostrava carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 9 points while Slovácko sit 14 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Slovácko Analysis

Slovácko approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 3 points from 7 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Juroška (1 goals), Paul Ndubuisi (1 goals), with creative support from M. Trávník (1 assists), D. Puškáč (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 11 with 9 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Míček (1 goals), V. Jurečka (1 goals), M. Chaluš (1 goals), with creative support from R. Nogha (1 assists), F. Kubala (1 assists), Artúr Musák (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovácko won 7 times, Baník Ostrava won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Slovácko's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.3%)
Predicted formations: Slovácko 3-4-2-1 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Slovácko wins 7, draws 3, Baník Ostrava wins 5

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 21:5 16 17
W W D D W
2 7 5 1 1 10:4 6 16
W W W D W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
W W D W D
4 7 4 1 2 13:8 5 13
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
W L D L W
6 7 4 1 2 15:13 2 13
W W L L D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 6:6 0 11
D W L L W
9 7 2 4 1 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
10 7 3 0 4 13:12 1 9
L L W W L
11 7 3 0 4 4:13 -9 9
L L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D W D
13 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
L W L L L
14 7 0 3 4 5:12 -7 3
D D L L L
15 7 0 2 5 5:12 -7 2
D L L D L
16 7 0 0 7 6:16 -10 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs