IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
18.04.2026 18:45
Showgrounds
Referee: A. Hunter
Sligo Rovers
Match Timeline
Waterford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
A. Meekison · Assist: W. Fitzgerald
Sligo Rovers
🟨
36'
Dean McMenamy
Waterford
🔄
41'
J. Voilas ↔ H. Cann
Waterford
🔄
41'
A. Zborowski ↔ J. Houston
Waterford
⚽
57'
W. Fitzgerald
Sligo Rovers
🔄
60'
D. McMenamy ↔ S. Glenfield
Waterford
🔄
60'
E. McLaughlin ↔ C. Carty
Waterford
🔄
70'
P. Amond ↔ T. Lonergan
Waterford
🔄
77'
C. McHugh ↔ S. Blaney
Sligo Rovers
🔄
77'
D. Patton ↔ A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers
🟨
80'
James McManus
Sligo Rovers
🟨
83'
Tom Lonergan
Waterford

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 82.6%
Draw 15.4%
Waterford Win 2.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers1.36
Waterford1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
18 GF / 21 GA
Waterford Waterford
WLDWL
21 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
6
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
2.36
Shots on Goal
2.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 17 matches
Waterford Waterford 17 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic Waterford
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 8
18 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 31
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
6 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 6
2.36 Shots On Goal 2.7
10 Total Shots 11.2
3.36 Corners 5.5
48% Ball Possession 40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Waterford. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers sit 9 with 8 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 6:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Fitzgerald (2 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), J. Hakiki (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (1 assists), A. Nolan (1 assists), J. Redmond (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford sit 10 with 4 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Lonergan (3 goals), P. Amond (2 goals), G. Facchineri (1 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), C. Noonan (1 assists), Evan McLaughlin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 7 times, Waterford won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (98%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 4-3-3 / Waterford 5-3-2
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 7, draws 3, Waterford wins 5

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation