Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.9%
|
- |
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sligo Rovers
17 matches
Waterford
17 matches
| Sligo Rovers | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 18 | Goals For | 21 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.36 | Shots On Goal | 2.7 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 11.2 |
| 3.36 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 40.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Waterford. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Sligo Rovers sit 9 with 8 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 6:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Fitzgerald (2 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), J. Hakiki (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (1 assists), A. Nolan (1 assists), J. Redmond (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Waterford sit 10 with 4 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Lonergan (3 goals), P. Amond (2 goals), G. Facchineri (1 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), C. Noonan (1 assists), Evan McLaughlin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 8 times, Waterford won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Sligo Rovers
3
4
6
7
1
5
Lineups
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
UCD
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Wexford
Waterford
Cork City
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:21 | 19 | 43 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 39:37 | 2 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Away
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
Home
|
24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|