BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Referee: K. Todorov
Slavia Sofia
Match Timeline
Montana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
E. Gogev · Assist: V. Yotov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
46'
A. Todorov ↔ Beji
Montana
🔄
57'
I. Kokonov ↔ P. Atanasov
Montana
🔄
59'
M. Lazarov ↔ J. Semedo
Slavia Sofia
🔄
59'
V. Yotov ↔ M. Dosso
Slavia Sofia
65'
K. Balov · Assist: B. Todorov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
71'
B. Todorov ↔ G. Shopov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
71'
K. Balov ↔ E. Stoev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
71'
B. Dimitrov ↔ V. Tsekov Dimitrov
Montana
🔄
76'
R. Raychev ↔ M. Miletic
Slavia Sofia
🔄
86'
A. Tungarov ↔ R. Slavchev
Montana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Slavia Sofia Win 60.1%
Draw 25.7%
Montana Win 14.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Sofia1.25
Montana0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WWDLW
40 GF / 44 GA
Montana Montana
WLDWL
21 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.58
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
17
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
14
2.36
Shots on Goal
1.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 36 matches
Montana Montana 36 matches
Slavia Sofia Statistic Montana
11 Wins 4
10 Draws 11
15 Losses 21
40 Goals For 21
44 Goals Against 53
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.58
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
17 BTTS Yes 14
29 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 18
2.36 Shots On Goal 1.97
6.73 Total Shots 6.52
2.79 Corners 3.06
28.2% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Slavia Sofia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slavia Sofia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Montana in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montana having the stronger overall control. Slavia Sofia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 43 points compared to Montana in 16 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Montana.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

Slavia Sofia sit 11 with 43 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 40:44, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (8 assists), Emil Stoev (5 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Montana Analysis

Montana approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 23 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 21:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dimitrov (9 goals), P. Ejike (5 goals), I. Kokonov (2 goals), with creative support from B. Dimitrov (2 assists), Solomon James (2 assists), I. Kokonov (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Sofia won 7 times, Montana won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from Slavia Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Montana 3-4-3
H2H summary: Slavia Sofia wins 7, draws 4, Montana wins 1
Stats
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
Montana Montana
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 0
4 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
434 Total passes 561
345 Passes accurate 475
1.84 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Slavia Sofia
Formation
Montana
I. Andonov
I. Andonov
Diego
Diego
N. Savic
N. Savic
L. Marin
L. Marin
M. Lazarov
M. Lazarov
I. Stefanov
I. Stefanov
B. Todorov
🎯
B. Todorov
R. Raychev
R. Raychev
V. Yotov
🎯
V. Yotov
K. Balov
K. Balov
E. Gogev
E. Gogev
V. Simeonov
V. Simeonov
J. Soares
J. Soares
D. Carmona Sierra
D. Carmona Sierra
A. Tungarov
A. Tungarov
I. Markov
I. Markov
A. Todorov
A. Todorov
A. Tsingaras
A. Tsingaras
I. Kokonov
I. Kokonov
D. Burov
D. Burov
T. Azevedo
T. Azevedo
B. Dimitrov
B. Dimitrov
Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
I. Andonov
G
87
Diego
D
4
N. Savic
D
24
L. Marin
D
22
M. Lazarov
↓ 59'
D
13
I. Stefanov
M
23
B. Todorov
🎯 65' ↓ 71'
9
R. Raychev
↓ 76'
M
8
V. Yotov
🎯 45' ↓ 59'
M
18
K. Balov
⚽ 65' ↓ 71'
7
E. Gogev
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Petkov
G
2
T. Chung Chan
6
L. Ivanov
D
20
J. Semedo
↑ 59'
D
11
M. Dosso
↑ 59'
M
5
G. Shopov
↑ 71'
M
77
E. Stoev
↑ 71'
M
14
M. Miletic
↑ 76'
M
3
T. Genov
Montana 3-5-2
Starting XI
30
V. Simeonov
G
13
J. Soares
D
16
D. Carmona Sierra
23
A. Tungarov
↓ 86'
D
5
I. Markov
10
A. Todorov
↓ 46'
M
24
A. Tsingaras
M
17
I. Kokonov
↓ 57'
M
14
D. Burov
M
27
T. Azevedo
F
7
B. Dimitrov
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Krastev
G
11
Vitinho
M
19
V. Tsekov Dimitrov
↑ 71'
F
22
Beji
↑ 46'
8
P. Atanasov
↑ 57'
M
26
R. Slavchev
↑ 86'
D
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
18.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
06.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Marek
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
FK Tobol Kostanay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Tikveš
1
1
D
Last matches: Montana
18.05.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
2
L
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
16.04.26
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Montana
Leningradets
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Montana
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Montana
Llapi
2
2
D
H2H: Slavia Sofia vs Montana
22.05.26
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
W
16.04.26
H2H
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
09.11.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
29.10.24
H2H
Montana
Slavia Sofia
1
3
W
28.06.23
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
3
1
W
23.06.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
17.07.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
4
0
W
14.05.21
H2H
Montana
Slavia Sofia
0
2
W
03.05.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
04.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
03.10.20
H2H
Montana
Slavia Sofia
2
1
L
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
13.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
06.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
06.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Marek
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
FK Tobol Kostanay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Tikveš
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Enisey
4
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Mladost Lucani
1
1
D
04.12.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Levski Sofia
2
0
W
30.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
25.10.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
03.10.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
0
W
21.09.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
0
D
30.08.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
2
D
H2H at home: Slavia Sofia
22.05.26
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
28.06.23
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
3
1
W
23.06.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
17.07.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
4
0
W
03.05.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
W
04.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
Last matches: Montana
14.05.26
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
05.05.26
Fir
Montana
Beroe
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Montana
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Montana
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Montana
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
16.02.26
Fir
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
09.12.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.11.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Montana
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Montana
Beroe
1
1
D
28.09.25
Fir
Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
L
12.09.25
Fir
Montana
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
15.08.25
Fir
Montana
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.08.25
Fir
Montana
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
20.07.25
Fir
Montana
Levski Sofia
0
5
L
H2H away: Montana
22.05.26
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
L
28.06.23
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
3
1
L
23.06.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
17.07.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
4
0
L
03.05.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
1
L
04.03.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Montana
1
1
D

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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