CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Fortuna Arena
Referee: K. Roucek

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.84
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
1.84
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
1.95
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Slavia Praha Win 82.9%
Draw 0%
Sparta Praha Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Praha1.49
Sparta Praha1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
WWDLW
70 GF / 43 GA
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WLDWL
86 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
21
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
28
5.69
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 39 matches
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 45 matches
Slavia Praha Statistic Sparta Praha
22 Wins 28
11 Draws 7
6 Losses 10
70 Goals For 86
43 Goals Against 47
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
21 BTTS Yes 24
32 Over 1.5 36
23 Over 2.5 28
14 Over 3.5 15
15 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 7
5.69 Shots On Goal 4.6
16.74 Total Shots 12.49
6.79 Corners 5.4
55.7% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sparta Praha look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sparta Praha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slavia Praha expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sparta Praha in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Praha having the stronger overall control.

Slavia Praha Analysis

Slavia Praha approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 71 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, with a 63:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on T. Chory (17 goals), M. Chytil (11 goals), L. Provod (7 goals), with creative support from L. Provod (9 assists), T. Chory (4 assists), V. Kusej (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 63 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 60:33 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on L. Haraslin (12 goals), J. Kuchta (11 goals), A. Rrahmani (10 goals), with creative support from L. Haraslin (5 assists), J. Kuchta (5 assists), P. Vydra (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Praha won 5 times, Sparta Praha won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Slavia Praha's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1 / Sparta Praha 4-3-3
H2H summary: Slavia Praha wins 5, draws 5, Sparta Praha wins 5
Stats
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 6
13 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
205 Total passes 465
133 Passes accurate 382
1.90 expected_goals 2.21
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Slavia Praha
Formation
Sparta Praha
Jakub Markovič
Jakub Markovič
Tomáš Holeš
🎯
Tomáš Holeš
Igoh Ogbu
Igoh Ogbu
David Zima
🎯
David Zima
David Douděra
David Douděra
Oscar Dorley
Oscar Dorley
David Moses
David Moses
Alexandr Bužek
Alexandr Bužek
David Jurásek
🎯
David Jurásek
Lukáš Provod
Lukáš Provod
Tomáš Chorý
Tomáš Chorý
Jakub Surovčík
Jakub Surovčík
Oliver Sonne
🎯
Oliver Sonne
Adam Ševinský
Adam Ševinský
Asger Sørensen
Asger Sørensen
Jaroslav Zelený
Jaroslav Zelený
Sivert Mannsverk
Sivert Mannsverk
Kaan Kairinen
Kaan Kairinen
Santiago Eneme
Santiago Eneme
Albion Rrahmani
Albion Rrahmani
Jan Kuchta
Jan Kuchta
Matěj Ryneš
Matěj Ryneš
Slavia Praha 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
35
Jakub Markovič
G
3
Tomáš Holeš
🎯 52'
D
5
Igoh Ogbu
↓ 46'
D
4
David Zima
⚽ 53' 🎯 31'
D
21
David Douděra
↓ 74' 🟥 90+1'
M
19
Oscar Dorley
⚽ 31'
M
16
David Moses
↓ 84'
M
20
Alexandr Bužek
↓ 46'
M
39
David Jurásek
🎯 53' ↓ 79'
M
17
Lukáš Provod
F
25
Tomáš Chorý
🟥 59'
F
Substitutes
36
Jindřich Staněk
G
12
Youssoupha Mbodji
D
27
Tomáš Vlček
↑ 74'
D
2
Štěpán Chaloupek
⚽ 52' ↑ 46'
D
14
Samuel Isife
↑ 84'
D
11
Youssoupha Sanyang
M
23
Michal Sadílek
↑ 46'
M
10
Muhammed-Cham Saračević
M
13
Mojmír Chytil
↑ 79'
F
9
Vasil Kušej
F
33
Erik Prekop
F
Sparta Praha 4-3-3
Starting XI
44
Jakub Surovčík
G
17
Oliver Sonne
🎯 22' 🎯 47' ↓ 81'
D
19
Adam Ševinský
🟨 90+4'
D
25
Asger Sørensen
⚽ 47'
D
30
Jaroslav Zelený
↓ 66'
D
20
Sivert Mannsverk
↓ 81' 🟨 19'
M
6
Kaan Kairinen
🟨 33'
M
5
Santiago Eneme
↓ 66'
M
9
Albion Rrahmani
F
10
Jan Kuchta
⚽ 22'
F
11
Matěj Ryneš
🟨 90+4'
F
Substitutes
66
Sebastian Zajac
G
61
Daniel Kerl
G
27
Filip Panák
D
4
Jakub Martinec
↑ 81' 🟨 88'
D
18
Andy Irving
↑ 66' 🟨 89'
M
36
Garang Kuol
↑ 81'
F
29
Matyáš Vojta
↑ 66' 🟨 77'
F
Last matches: Slavia Praha
18.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Lyon
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Ružomberok
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Slovan Bratislava
0
1
L
05.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Wieczysta Kraków
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Dynamo Kyiv
1
1
D
24.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Plzen
3
0
W
17.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
13.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
FK Jablonec
5
1
W
02.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Hradec Králové
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Plzen
0
0
D
05.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Baník Ostrava
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Zlin
3
1
W
08.03.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
3
1
W
27.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Karviná
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Mlada Boleslav
4
0
W
Last matches: Sparta Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
FC Nordsjaelland
1
5
L
16.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Gamba Osaka
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Opava
4
1
W
24.05.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
2
1
W
17.05.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Plzen
0
0
D
03.05.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
FK Jablonec
3
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Teplice
1
0
W
05.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Karviná
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
15.03.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slovácko
5
2
W
12.03.26
UEF
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
5
2
W
22.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Plzen
0
0
D
15.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
2
0
W
08.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Zlin
3
0
W
H2H: Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha
09.05.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
08.03.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
3
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
2
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
28.02.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
3
L
24.09.23
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
3
2
L
03.05.23
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
W
15.04.23
H2H
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
3
3
D
23.10.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
Last matches: Slavia Praha
18.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Lyon
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Ružomberok
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Slovan Bratislava
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
24.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Plzen
3
0
W
13.05.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
FK Jablonec
5
1
W
25.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Plzen
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
3
1
W
21.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
1
0
W
07.02.26
Cze
Slavia Praha
Mlada Boleslav
4
0
W
21.01.26
UEF
Slavia Praha
Barcelona
2
4
L
16.01.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
Brann
2
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Slavia Praha
FC Basel 1893
3
4
L
13.12.25
Cze
Slavia Praha
FK Jablonec
4
3
W
29.11.25
Cze
Slavia Praha
Slovácko
3
0
W
25.11.25
UEF
Slavia Praha
Athletic Club
0
0
D
22.11.25
Cze
Slavia Praha
Bohemians 1905
3
1
W
04.11.25
UEF
Slavia Praha
Arsenal
0
3
L
01.11.25
Cze
Slavia Praha
Baník Ostrava
2
0
W
H2H at home: Slavia Praha
09.05.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
08.03.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
3
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
28.02.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
3
L
24.09.23
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
1
D
23.10.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
Last matches: Sparta Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
FC Nordsjaelland
1
5
L
16.07.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
17.05.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Teplice
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
22.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Plzen
0
0
D
08.02.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Zlin
3
0
W
31.01.26
Cze
Sparta Praha
Dukla Praha
3
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Legia Warszawa
3
3
D
16.01.26
Fri
Sparta Praha
Malmo FF
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Sparta Praha
Universitatea Craiova
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cze
Sparta Praha
Sigma Olomouc
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Sparta Praha
Legia Warszawa
1
0
W
22.11.25
Cze
Sparta Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
02.11.25
Cze
Sparta Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
24.10.25
UEF
Sparta Praha
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
19.10.25
Cze
Sparta Praha
Slovácko
0
0
D
27.09.25
Cze
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
3
0
W
H2H away: Sparta Praha
09.05.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
0
3
W
08.03.26
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
3
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
1
L
28.02.24
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
2
3
W
24.09.23
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
1
D
23.10.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
4
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.56
Draw 3.48
Home 1.84
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.85
Draw 2.29
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.64
Over 3.5 3.27
Over 4.5 6.48
Under 1.5 3.63
Under 2.0 2.77
Under 2.25 2.18
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.69
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.50
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.32
Draw 3.45
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.03
Draw 2.07
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.32
Draw 2.53
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.37
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 2.75 2.01
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.25 2.64
Over 3.5 2.92
Over 3.75 3.58
Over 4.0 4.95
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.70
Over 4.75 8.55
Over 5.0 9.60
Over 5.5 12.00
Under 0.5 9.20
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.50
Under 1.25 4.80
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 1.75 3.14
Under 2.0 2.73
Under 2.25 2.22
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.40
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.17
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.50
Home 2.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.10
Over 3.0 2.55
Over 3.25 2.85
Over 3.5 3.15
Over 3.75 3.85
Over 4.0 5.10
Over 4.25 5.40
Over 4.5 5.75
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.0 2.60
Under 2.25 2.08
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.36
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification