CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
09.05.2026 17:00
Fortuna Arena
Referee: K. Roucek

Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.84
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
1.84 ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
1.95 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Slavia Praha Win 82.9%
Draw 0%
Sparta Praha Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Praha1.49
Sparta Praha1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
WWDLW
70 GF / 43 GA
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WLDWL
86 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
21
BTTS Yes
24
23
Over 2.5
28
5.69
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 39 matches
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 45 matches
Slavia Praha Statistic Sparta Praha
22 Wins 28
11 Draws 7
6 Losses 10
70 Goals For 86
43 Goals Against 47
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
21 BTTS Yes 24
32 Over 1.5 36
23 Over 2.5 28
14 Over 3.5 15
15 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 7
5.69 Shots On Goal 4.6
16.74 Total Shots 12.49
6.79 Corners 5.4
55.7% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sparta Praha look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sparta Praha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slavia Praha expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sparta Praha in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Praha having the stronger overall control.

Slavia Praha Analysis

Slavia Praha approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 71 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, with a 63:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on T. Chory (17 goals), M. Chytil (11 goals), L. Provod (7 goals), with creative support from L. Provod (9 assists), T. Chory (4 assists), V. Kusej (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 63 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 60:33 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on L. Haraslin (12 goals), J. Kuchta (11 goals), A. Rrahmani (10 goals), with creative support from L. Haraslin (5 assists), J. Kuchta (5 assists), P. Vydra (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Praha won 5 times, Sparta Praha won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Slavia Praha's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1 / Sparta Praha 4-3-3
H2H summary: Slavia Praha wins 5, draws 5, Sparta Praha wins 5

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification