CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
13.05.2026 18:00
Fortuna Arena
Referee: M. Radina
Slavia Praha
Match Timeline
FK Jablonec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Eduard Sobol
FK Jablonec
⚽
14'
S. Chaloupek
Slavia Praha
VAR
20'
Alexis Alegue
FK Jablonec
⚽
37'
S. Isife
Slavia Praha
⚽
43'
M. Chytil · Assist: L. Provod
Slavia Praha
🔄
46'
M. Cedidla ↔ N. Innocenti
FK Jablonec
🔄
46'
M. Polidar ↔ M. Malensek
FK Jablonec
⚽
49'
T. Holes
Slavia Praha
⚽
56'
S. Chaloupek · Assist: D. Jurasek
Slavia Praha
🔄
59'
N. Okeke ↔ S. Nebyla
FK Jablonec
⚽
62'
E. Sobol
FK Jablonec
🔄
67'
D. Moses ↔ A. Buzek
Slavia Praha
🔄
67'
I. Ogbu ↔ T. Vlcek
Slavia Praha
🔄
67'
E. Prekop ↔ M. Cham
Slavia Praha
🔄
68'
L. Jawo ↔ D. Puskac
FK Jablonec
🔄
77'
M. Chytil ↔ V. Kusej
Slavia Praha
🔄
77'
A. Alegue ↔ D. Holly
FK Jablonec
🟨
79'
Tomáš Holeš
Slavia Praha
🔄
83'
T. Holes ↔ Y. Mbodji
Slavia Praha
🟨
88'
Youssoupha Mbodji
Slavia Praha

Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Slavia Praha Win 75.9%
Draw 9.8%
FK Jablonec Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Praha1.53
FK Jablonec1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
WWDLW
70 GF / 43 GA
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WLDWL
42 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
21
BTTS Yes
13
23
Over 2.5
11
5.69
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 39 matches
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 32 matches
Slavia Praha Statistic FK Jablonec
22 Wins 15
11 Draws 7
6 Losses 10
70 Goals For 42
43 Goals Against 36
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
21 BTTS Yes 13
32 Over 1.5 24
23 Over 2.5 11
14 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 7
5.69 Shots On Goal 3.94
16.74 Total Shots 11.47
6.79 Corners 5.19
55.7% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FK Jablonec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slavia Praha expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FK Jablonec in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Jablonec having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FK Jablonec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Slavia Praha arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 71 points compared to FK Jablonec in 4 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Slavia Praha Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 71 points from 30 games, Slavia Praha bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 63:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Chory (17 goals), M. Chytil (11 goals), L. Provod (7 goals), with creative support from L. Provod (9 assists), T. Chory (4 assists), V. Kusej (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FK Jablonec Analysis

FK Jablonec sit 4 with 51 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 41:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Chramosta (10 goals), L. Jawo (9 goals), Sebastian Nebyla (4 goals), with creative support from A. Alegue (7 assists), L. Jawo (3 assists), Sebastian Nebyla (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Praha won 10 times, FK Jablonec won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 43:20 from Slavia Praha's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1 / FK Jablonec 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Slavia Praha wins 10, draws 4, FK Jablonec wins 1

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification