BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE
04.09.2026 17:00
Stadion Junost

Slavia Mozyr vs FC Vitebsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58%
Odds 3.08
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58%
3.08
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.90
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Slavia Mozyr Win 34.1%
Draw 8%
FC Vitebsk Win 58%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slavia Mozyr1.15
FC Vitebsk1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
WWDLW
31 GF / 32 GA
FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk
WLDWL
34 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 27 matches
FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk 27 matches
Slavia Mozyr Statistic FC Vitebsk
10 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 9
31 Goals For 34
32 Goals Against 31
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
15 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features FC Vitebsk's more proactive style and Slavia Mozyr's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Vitebsk. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Vitebsk having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. FC Vitebsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Slavia Mozyr Analysis

Slavia Mozyr are currently 10 in the standings with 22 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Vitebsk Analysis

FC Vitebsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 32 points after 20 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:17, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 5 1 35:14 21 38
W D W W W
2 18 11 5 2 31:14 17 38
D W W W W
3 17 11 3 3 30:14 16 36
L L W W D
4 20 9 6 5 28:15 13 33
W D W L L
5 20 9 5 6 21:17 4 32
W W L W W
6 20 9 4 7 32:21 11 31
L D L W W
7 19 9 3 7 21:17 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 8 4 8 26:26 0 28
L L L W W
9 19 7 6 6 27:20 7 27
W D L L L
10 19 5 7 7 20:24 -4 22
L D W W L
11 20 5 6 9 22:35 -13 21
W D L D L
12 20 5 6 9 22:35 -13 21
L L L L L
13 18 3 8 7 14:20 -6 17
W D W D L
14 20 2 9 9 16:29 -13 15
D D D L D
15 18 4 3 11 16:32 -16 15
L W D L D
16 19 2 4 13 16:44 -28 10
L L L W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga