UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.05.2026 12:30
Zirka Stadium
Referee: D. Yevtukhov
SK Poltava
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Danyil Sukhoruchko
SK Poltava
🔄
44'
O. Veremiyenko ↔ I. Kotsyumaka
SK Poltava
⚽
45'
D. Kryskiv · Assist: L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
55'
Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
61'
Isaque Silva · Assist: A. Bondarenko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
65'
V. Odaryuk ↔ D. Galenkov
SK Poltava
🔄
65'
A. Doroshenko ↔ D. Plakhtyr
SK Poltava
🔄
65'
V. Sad ↔ M. Marusych
SK Poltava
⚽
67'
L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
69'
P. Henrique ↔ A. Ghram
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
69'
P. Obah ↔ Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
76'
A. Bondarenko ↔ Pedrinho
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
76'
D. Kryskiv ↔ Y. Nazaryna
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
81'
V. Danylenko ↔ O. Pyatov
SK Poltava
🔄
83'
L. Traore ↔ O. Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
87'
Isaque
Shakhtar Donetsk

SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 95.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
95.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SK Poltava Win 4.8%
Draw 0%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 95.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SK Poltava0.84
Shakhtar Donetsk2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
SK Poltava SK Poltava
WWDLW
23 GF / 66 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
97 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
2.11
2.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
14
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
27
1.3
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SK Poltava SK Poltava 26 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 46 matches
SK Poltava Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
2 Wins 29
6 Draws 12
18 Losses 5
23 Goals For 97
66 Goals Against 36
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
2.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
14 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 34
17 Over 2.5 27
12 Over 3.5 17
1 Clean Sheets 25
11 Failed To Score 6
1.3 Shots On Goal 3.86
4.48 Total Shots 10.12
2.09 Corners 3.84
25.8% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Shakhtar Donetsk's more proactive style and SK Poltava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shakhtar Donetsk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 63 points while SK Poltava sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shakhtar Donetsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SK Poltava expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control.

SK Poltava Analysis

SK Poltava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 26 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 23:66, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Marusych (3 goals), V. Odaryuk (3 goals), D. Plakhtyr (2 goals), with creative support from V. Odaryuk (3 assists), A. Doroshenko (2 assists), M. Marusych (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 63 points after 26 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 61:17 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SK Poltava won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from SK Poltava's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SK Poltava 4-2-3-1 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3-3
H2H summary: SK Poltava wins 0, draws 0, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga