Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
95.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
89.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SK Poltava
26 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
46 matches
| SK Poltava | Statistic | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 29 |
| 6 | Draws | 12 |
| 18 | Losses | 5 |
| 23 | Goals For | 97 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.11 |
| 2.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.78 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 25 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 1.3 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 4.48 | Total Shots | 10.12 |
| 2.09 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 25.8% | Ball Possession | 41.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Shakhtar Donetsk's more proactive style and SK Poltava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shakhtar Donetsk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 63 points while SK Poltava sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shakhtar Donetsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SK Poltava expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control.
SK Poltava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 26 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 23:66, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Marusych (3 goals), V. Odaryuk (3 goals), D. Plakhtyr (2 goals), with creative support from V. Odaryuk (3 assists), A. Doroshenko (2 assists), M. Marusych (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Shakhtar Donetsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 63 points after 26 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 61:17 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SK Poltava won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from SK Poltava's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.
Lineups
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
SK Poltava
Polessya
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
Karpaty
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
SK Poltava
Bukovyna
SK Poltava
Inhulets
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Gorica
Shakhtar Donetsk
NK Slaven Belupo
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rudes
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
Dynamo Kyiv
SK Poltava
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
Polessya
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
Karpaty
SK Poltava
Kudrivka
SK Poltava
Inhulets
SK Poltava
Ruh Lviv
SK Poltava
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
Obolon'-Brovar
SK Poltava
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Gorica
Shakhtar Donetsk
NK Slaven Belupo
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rudes
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away
|
30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 71:21 | 50 | 72 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 39:17 | 22 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 51:21 | 30 | 59 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:36 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:46 | 7 | 48 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 31 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 20:51 | -31 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
SK Poltava
Home
|
30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23:74 | -51 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
D
|