FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
OmaSp Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds 2.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.8%
2.46
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
SJK Akatemia Win 10.1%
Draw 10.1%
MP Win 79.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK Akatemia0.72
MP1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WWDLW
5 GF / 20 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.36
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
3
BTTS Yes
9
3
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 14 matches
MP MP 19 matches
SJK Akatemia Statistic MP
1 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
10 Losses 9
5 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 24
0.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
3 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MP. SJK Akatemia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. MP carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 13 points while SJK Akatemia sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia sit 10 with 6 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 4:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 13 points after 12 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, SJK Akatemia won 8 times, MP won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from SJK Akatemia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.9%)
H2H summary: SJK Akatemia wins 8, draws 4, MP wins 2
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
03.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H: SJK Akatemia vs MP
06.04.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
2
W
28.05.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
0
0
D
14.10.23
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
4
W
16.09.23
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
05.08.23
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
0
W
25.05.23
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
2
0
L
24.09.22
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
2
W
11.07.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
1
W
08.05.22
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
12.02.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
3
1
W
04.10.20
H2H
MP
SJK Akatemia
2
1
L
10.08.20
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
15.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
H2H at home: SJK Akatemia
06.04.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
2
D
28.05.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
0
0
D
05.08.23
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
0
W
11.07.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
1
W
12.02.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
3
1
W
10.08.20
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
Last matches: MP
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
06.04.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
L
27.09.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
2
D
28.05.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
0
0
D
05.08.23
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
0
L
11.07.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
2
1
L
12.02.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
3
1
L
10.08.20
H2H
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.46
Draw 3.20
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.08
Draw 2.21
Home 3.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.19
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.49
Over 3.5 3.23
Over 4.5 6.03
Under 1.5 3.51
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 3.30
Home 2.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.20
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.40
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.10
Home 2.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 2.02
Home 3.56
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.66
Draw 2.45
Home 3.12
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.28
Over 2.0 1.37
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 1.99
Over 3.0 2.35
Over 3.25 2.62
Over 3.5 2.92
Over 3.75 3.58
Over 4.0 4.80
Over 4.25 5.19
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 0.75 8.45
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.65
Under 1.5 3.42
Under 1.75 3.05
Under 2.0 2.66
Under 2.25 2.17
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 3.25
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.28
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.60
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 3.5 2.80
Over 4.5 4.90
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 4.5 1.12

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6
MP Away
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen