FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
11.07.2026 13:00
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: A. Ropponen
SJK Akatemia
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Mani
SJK Akatemia
🟨
33'
V. Laiho
MP
🔄
46'
R. Kawale ↔ M. Koivuniemi
MP
🔄
46'
S. Atakayi ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
46'
P. Kerminen ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
63'
O. Pihlaja ↔ E. Hautamaki
SJK Akatemia
🔄
65'
A. Ring ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🔄
67'
Mani ↔ J. Kekarainen
SJK Akatemia
🔄
75'
Cauet Werner ↔ O. Raiski
SJK Akatemia
🔄
75'
D. Bulgakov ↔ L. Ouma
SJK Akatemia
🔄
75'
T. Kangaskokko ↔ A. Piiroinen
SJK Akatemia
79'
A. Muchipay · Assist: A. Piiroinen
SJK Akatemia
🟨
83'
T. Afshari
MP
90'
M. Koivuniemi · Assist: V. Janhunen
MP

SJK Akatemia vs MP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.8%
-
BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Akatemia Win 10.1%
Draw 10.1%
MP Win 79.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK Akatemia0.72
MP1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WWDLW
5 GF / 20 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.36
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
3
BTTS Yes
9
3
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 14 matches
MP MP 19 matches
SJK Akatemia Statistic MP
1 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
10 Losses 9
5 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 24
0.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
3 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MP. SJK Akatemia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. MP carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 13 points while SJK Akatemia sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia sit 10 with 6 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 4:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 13 points after 12 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK Akatemia won 8 times, MP won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from SJK Akatemia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.9%)
H2H summary: SJK Akatemia wins 8, draws 5, MP wins 2

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2 23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4 23 11 7 5 32:20 12 40
W L W W L
5 23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7
MP Away
23 7 4 12 25:34 -9 25
D W L L L
8 23 4 8 11 28:34 -6 20
L D W W D
9 23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 23 2 7 14 14:37 -23 13
D L L L W
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen