SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
14.09.2026 17:00
Studenternas IP

Sirius vs Degerfors IF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sirius Win 69.7%
Draw 18.2%
Degerfors IF Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sirius1.97
Degerfors IF1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sirius Sirius
WWDLW
58 GF / 36 GA
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WLDWL
34 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
17
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
16
5.84
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sirius Sirius 26 matches
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 28 matches
Sirius Statistic Degerfors IF
17 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 14
58 Goals For 34
36 Goals Against 44
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 9
5.84 Shots On Goal 3
15.26 Total Shots 10.95
5.74 Corners 4.75
48.2% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sirius's more proactive style and Degerfors IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sirius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 45 points compared to Degerfors IF in 14 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Sirius have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Degerfors IF. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 45 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 48:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Robbie Ure (15 goals), I. Bjerkebo (13 goals), Mohamed Soumah (4 goals), with creative support from I. Bjerkebo (5 assists), M. Lindberg (3 assists), V. Svensson (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Degerfors IF Analysis

Degerfors IF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 19:31 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Vukojević (4 goals), Marcus Rafferty (2 goals), Arman Taranis (2 goals), with creative support from N. Girmai Netabay (3 assists), D. Sundgren (3 assists), D. Vukojević (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sirius won 8 times, Degerfors IF won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Sirius's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Sirius 4-2-3-1 / Degerfors IF 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sirius wins 8, draws 3, Degerfors IF wins 2

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
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