CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
20.09.2026 13:00
Andruv Stadion
Referee: Karel Roucek, Czechia
Sigma Olomouc
Match Timeline
Sparta Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
J. Mercado · Assist: A. Karabec
Sparta Praha
🟨
38'
M. Rynes
Sparta Praha
🔄
46'
D. Tkac ↔ M. Hadas
Sigma Olomouc
🔄
60'
R. Macek ↔ S. Eneme
Sparta Praha
🔄
60'
J. Brunes ↔ M. Jurasek
Sparta Praha
🔄
64'
M. Rynes ↔ J. Zeleny
Sparta Praha
67'
M. Soldo
Sparta Praha
🔄
71'
V. Sejk ↔ J. Dembe
Sigma Olomouc
🔄
72'
D. Janosek ↔ H. Mikaelsson
Sigma Olomouc
🔄
73'
H. Sochurek ↔ P. Vydra
Sparta Praha
🔄
73'
P. Kaderabek ↔ K. Hoever
Sparta Praha
🔄
86'
M. Soldo ↔ J. Spacil
Sigma Olomouc
🔄
87'
A. Ghali ↔ J. Sip
Sigma Olomouc
88'
E. Singhateh · Assist: P. Vydra
Sparta Praha
🟨
90+2'
A. Sylla
Sigma Olomouc

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds 3.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
3.19
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Sigma Olomouc Win 76.8%
Draw 4.9%
Sparta Praha Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sigma Olomouc1.7
Sparta Praha1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
WWDLW
36 GF / 20 GA
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WLDWL
35 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
13
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
14
4.75
Shots on Goal
5.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 20 matches
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 18 matches
Sigma Olomouc Statistic Sparta Praha
12 Wins 9
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 8
36 Goals For 35
20 Goals Against 28
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
13 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.75 Shots On Goal 5.64
10.63 Total Shots 15.18
4.13 Corners 7.45
56.3% Ball Possession 62.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sigma Olomouc expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sparta Praha in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Praha having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sparta Praha. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sigma Olomouc come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Sigma Olomouc Analysis

Sigma Olomouc approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 13 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 13:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on P. Baráth (2 goals), A. Ghali (2 goals), V. Sejk (2 goals), with creative support from D. Janošek (3 assists), P. Baráth (1 assists), A. Ghali (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha are currently 8 in the standings with 12 points from 8 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Karabec (2 goals), J. Mercado (2 goals), J. Braut Brunes (1 goals), with creative support from A. Karabec (1 assists), J. Braut Brunes (1 assists), M. Suchomel (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sigma Olomouc won 3 times, Sparta Praha won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Sigma Olomouc's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3 / Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sigma Olomouc wins 3, draws 2, Sparta Praha wins 10

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 23:5 18 20
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
W W L W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:8 2 13
L W L D L
9 8 4 0 4 15:12 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 2 4 2 16:15 1 10
L D W D W
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 8 0 0 8 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs