CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
22.08.2026 11:35
Longquanyi Stadium
Referee: H. Li
Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Timeline
Hangzhou Greentown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
51'
Rui Yu
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
57'
Zhang Yufeng
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
57'
Dai Wai-Tsun ↔ Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu
58'
Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
65'
Tao Qianglong ↔ M. Tolic
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
72'
Cheng Jin ↔ Zhang Jiaqi
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
77'
Xu Junchi
Hangzhou Greentown
83'
Felippe Cardoso · Assist: Y. Wang
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
85'
A. Ademi ↔ Li Ning
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
87'
Yu Rui ↔ Zhao Jianfei
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
87'
Tian Yifan ↔ Yao Junsheng
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
90+3'
Xu Junchi ↔ Tong Lei
Hangzhou Greentown

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 61.8%
Draw 5.3%
Hangzhou Greentown Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sichuan Jiuniu1.57
Hangzhou Greentown1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WWDLW
32 GF / 42 GA
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
12
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
16
4.09
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 23 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 24 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Statistic Hangzhou Greentown
8 Wins 8
2 Draws 6
13 Losses 10
32 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 44
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
12 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 6
4.09 Shots On Goal 5
11.65 Total Shots 13.36
5.09 Corners 5.36
45% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sichuan Jiuniu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hangzhou Greentown. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sichuan Jiuniu expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Hangzhou Greentown in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hangzhou Greentown having the stronger overall control.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu sit 12 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 30:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Wesley Moraes (2 goals), Tim Chow (1 goals), Gabriel Xavier (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (2 assists), Albion Ademi (1 assists), Li Ning (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Hangzhou Greentown have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 31:36 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marko Tolić (2 goals), Alexandru Mitriță (1 goals), Wang Yudong (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (2 assists), Wang Yudong (1 assists), Qianglong Tao (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 2 times, Hangzhou Greentown won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1 / Hangzhou Greentown 5-3-2
H2H summary: Sichuan Jiuniu wins 2, draws 2, Hangzhou Greentown wins 5

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation