LITHUANIA A LYGA
13.09.2026 14:00
Siauliai central stadium

Šiauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Šiauliai Win 27%
Draw 31.8%
Hegelmann Litauen Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Šiauliai1.21
Hegelmann Litauen1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WWDLW
34 GF / 68 GA
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WLDWL
40 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
19
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Šiauliai Šiauliai 35 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 35 matches
Šiauliai Statistic Hegelmann Litauen
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 14
20 Losses 13
34 Goals For 40
68 Goals Against 55
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
19 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 31
19 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 5
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hegelmann Litauen. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hegelmann Litauen having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Šiauliai Analysis

With 16 points from 26 games and a place of 9, Šiauliai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 24:55, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen sit 8 with 24 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:44 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Šiauliai won 1 times, Hegelmann Litauen won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:30 from Šiauliai's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73%)
H2H summary: Šiauliai wins 1, draws 5, Hegelmann Litauen wins 9

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 37:19 18 48
W W W W W
2 24 11 9 4 46:16 30 42
W D D W W
3 25 12 4 9 38:29 9 40
W L W L W
4 26 11 6 9 37:34 3 39
L W D L W
5 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
6 27 10 8 9 36:38 -2 38
L D L L W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 27 3 7 17 24:56 -32 16
L L L W L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L