ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
12.09.2026 14:00
The Croud Meadow

Shrewsbury vs Northampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shrewsbury Win 39.6%
Draw 17.3%
Northampton Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shrewsbury0.85
Northampton1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Northampton Northampton
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2.8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 11 matches
Northampton Northampton 10 matches
Shrewsbury Statistic Northampton
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
9 Goals For 10
15 Goals Against 9
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
3 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
2.8 Shots On Goal 3
12 Total Shots 9.5
4.8 Corners 6
45.6% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury won 4 times, Northampton won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Shrewsbury's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2 / Northampton 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shrewsbury wins 4, draws 5, Northampton wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 12:6 6 12
W W W W L
2 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W W L W D
3 5 2 3 0 12:8 4 9
D D D W W
4 5 2 3 0 9:5 4 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
D D W D W
6 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
7 5 2 3 0 5:3 2 9
D D D W W
8 5 2 2 1 10:9 1 8
D W D L W
9 5 2 2 1 9:8 1 8
D L W D W
10 5 2 1 2 7:5 2 7
L D W L W
11 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D D W
12 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
13 5 1 3 1 6:6 0 6
W D D D L
14 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
W D D L D
15 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
W W L L L
16 5 1 2 2 4:4 0 5
D D L W L
17 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
D D L W L
18 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D W D L
19 5 1 2 2 9:11 -2 5
W D L L D
20 5 1 1 3 9:10 -1 4
L L D L W
21 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D L W L
22 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
L W L L L
23 5 1 0 4 2:10 -8 3
L L W L L
24 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
L L D D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League