MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
18.09.2026 14:00
Gradski stadion Gostivar
Shkendija
Match Timeline
Bashkimi Kumanovo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
F. Ndzengue
Shkendija
⚽
42'
F. Ismaili
Bashkimi Kumanovo
⚽
45'
A. Kryeziu
Shkendija
🟨
57'
M. Januzi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
59'
M. Januzi ↔ B. Limani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🟨
64'
A. Mayimona
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
66'
F. Ndzengue ↔ B. Ibraimi
Shkendija
🔄
66'
A. Stafa ↔ Y. Fawzi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
71'
B. Iseni ↔ H. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo
⚽
71'
F. Tamba
Shkendija
🟨
80'
J. Manev
Shkendija
🔄
85'
A. Kryeziu ↔ V. Krstevski
Shkendija
⚽
87'
A. Trumci
Shkendija
🔄
89'
E. Krasniqi ↔ N. Ceka
Shkendija
🔄
89'
F. Tamba ↔ M. Gjorgjievski
Shkendija

Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shkendija Win 83.5%
Draw 5.3%
Bashkimi Kumanovo Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shkendija1.96
Bashkimi Kumanovo1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shkendija Shkendija
WWDLW
40 GF / 26 GA
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
WLDWL
15 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
13
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
9
0.6
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shkendija Shkendija 22 matches
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 12 matches
Shkendija Statistic Bashkimi Kumanovo
11 Wins 4
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
40 Goals For 15
26 Goals Against 26
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
13 BTTS Yes 6
19 Over 1.5 11
15 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
0.6 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.4 Corners 0
20.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shkendija's more proactive style and Bashkimi Kumanovo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bashkimi Kumanovo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bashkimi Kumanovo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Shkendija arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 16 points compared to Bashkimi Kumanovo in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bashkimi Kumanovo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Shkendija Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 16 points from 7 games, Shkendija bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Bashkimi Kumanovo Analysis

Bashkimi Kumanovo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 3:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Shkendija won 3 times, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Shkendija's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Shkendija wins 3, draws 0, Bashkimi Kumanovo wins 1

Standings

First League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 20:8 12 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 19:5 14 17
W D W W L
3 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
W D W D W
4 8 3 4 1 17:7 10 13
D D W D D
5 8 4 1 3 6:9 -3 13
L W W W L
6 8 3 1 4 11:13 -2 10
W D L L W
7 8 2 3 3 13:10 3 9
D D L L L
8 8 2 2 4 6:19 -13 8
L D L D W
9 8 1 1 6 7:25 -18 4
L D W L L
10 8 0 3 5 3:12 -9 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL