CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
23.08.2026 11:00
Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Referee: D. Yige
Shenyang Urban
Match Timeline
Henan Jianye
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Yuan Mincheng
Shenyang Urban
39'
Lucas Maia · Assist: Wang Shangyuan
Henan Jianye
44'
Gustavo · Assist: Shinar Yeljan
Henan Jianye
🔄
46'
Chen Binbin ↔ D. Mawlanniyaz
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Gao Jiarun ↔ H. Zhang
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Yan Dinghao ↔ Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Wang Shangyuan ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye
46'
Jeffinho · Assist: Felipe
Shenyang Urban
🟨
51'
Iago Maidana
Henan Jianye
57'
Gustavo · Assist: Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
🔄
58'
Li Tixiang ↔ Tian Yinong
Shenyang Urban
60'
Gustavo · Assist: Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
63'
Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🟨
66'
Oliver Gerbig
Henan Jianye
🔄
67'
Li Haoran ↔ Tian Deao
Shenyang Urban
69'
H. Zhang · Assist: Tian Deao
Shenyang Urban
VAR
84'
Ange Kouamé
Shenyang Urban
🟨
86'
Chao He
Henan Jianye
🔄
86'
He Chao ↔ Liu Jiahui
Henan Jianye
89'
T. Kunimoto
Shenyang Urban
🔄
90+6'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ Osman Ekber
Henan Jianye
🔄
90+6'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Zheng Dalun
Henan Jianye

Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 36.3%
Draw 15.3%
Henan Jianye Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.32
Henan Jianye1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
29 GF / 35 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
27 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
3.82
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 22 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 22 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Henan Jianye
7 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
12 Losses 9
29 Goals For 27
35 Goals Against 29
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 7
3.82 Shots On Goal 3.95
11.86 Total Shots 11.95
4.14 Corners 5.23
51.7% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Henan Jianye. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shenyang Urban have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

Shenyang Urban approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 24 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 29:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jeffinho (3 goals), Takahiro Kunimoto (2 goals), with creative support from Takahiro Kunimoto (1 assists), Binbin Chen (1 assists), Dinghao Yan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Henan Jianye Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Henan Jianye have collected 23 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruno Nazário (4 goals), Gustavo (3 goals), Yihao Zhong (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (2 assists), Maranhão (2 assists), Yihao Zhong (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 0 times, Henan Jianye won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 3-1-4-2 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 0, draws 1, Henan Jianye wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation