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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 52.4%
Draw 8.1%
Hangzhou Greentown Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.59
Hangzhou Greentown1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
39 GF / 48 GA
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WLDWL
50 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
15
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
21
3.64
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 28 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 30 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Hangzhou Greentown
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 7
15 Losses 13
39 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 57
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
15 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 16
3 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 7
3.64 Shots On Goal 5.29
12.36 Total Shots 13.89
4.36 Corners 5.39
52.6% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shenyang Urban have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Hangzhou Greentown in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hangzhou Greentown having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Hangzhou Greentown.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

With 26 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Shenyang Urban still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 35:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Guy Mbenza (9 goals), Jeffinho (7 goals), Takahiro Kunimoto (5 goals), with creative support from Takahiro Kunimoto (3 assists), Ange Kouamé (3 assists), Binbin Chen (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Hangzhou Greentown have collected 31 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 47:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alexandru Mitriță (8 goals), Marko Tolić (7 goals), Wang Yudong (6 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (9 assists), Wang Yudong (4 assists), Cheng Jin (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, Hangzhou Greentown won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 3-4-3 / Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 1, draws 1, Hangzhou Greentown wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation