Shelbourne vs Drogheda United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.9%
|
1.93 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.96 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
38 matches
Drogheda United
33 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 15 | Draws | 12 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 58 | Goals For | 40 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.58 | Shots On Goal | 3.3 |
| 11.94 | Total Shots | 10.2 |
| 4.58 | Corners | 4.07 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 38.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Drogheda United. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Drogheda United in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control.
Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 36 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, while the 37:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Harry Wood (3 goals), D. Kelly (3 goals), John Martin (2 goals), with creative support from Harry Wood (5 assists), John Martin (1 assists), A. Coote (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 29 matches, Drogheda United have collected 28 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 33:48 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mark Doyle (4 goals), Brandon Kavanagh (2 goals), Thomas Oluwa (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Edwin Agbaje (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 5 times, Drogheda United won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Shelbourne's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|