CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 11:35
Pudong Football Stadium
Referee: Y. Mu
SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Timeline
Beijing Guoan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Wang Yu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
46'
Zhang Xizhe ↔ Deng Jiefu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
70'
Li Shuai ↔ Yue Xin
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
70'
Leonardo ↔ Wu Lei
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
79'
P. O. Ampem ↔ Kuai Jiwen
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
79'
Liu Zhurun ↔ X. Li
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
81'
Serginho ↔ Jia Feifan
Beijing Guoan
🔄
81'
Wang Yu ↔ Cheng Xi
Beijing Guoan
🔄
90+3'
A. Yang ↔ Wang Shenchao
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
90'
Yang Liyu ↔ Li Lei
Beijing Guoan

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds 2.90
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
2.90
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
1.13
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
SHANGHAI SIPG Win 35.2%
Draw 4.1%
Beijing Guoan Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SHANGHAI SIPG1.44
Beijing Guoan1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
WWDLW
41 GF / 43 GA
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WLDWL
49 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.96
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
19
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
16
4
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 27 matches
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 25 matches
SHANGHAI SIPG Statistic Beijing Guoan
10 Wins 11
7 Draws 9
10 Losses 5
41 Goals For 49
43 Goals Against 33
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
19 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 5.56
11.4 Total Shots 15.56
5.44 Corners 6.08
58.4% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Beijing Guoan. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. SHANGHAI SIPG come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SHANGHAI SIPG expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control.

SHANGHAI SIPG Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG sit 7 with 32 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 40:33 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Wu Lei (2 goals), Zhen Wei (1 goals), Yue Xin (1 goals), with creative support from Wu Lei (1 assists), Óscar Melendo (1 assists), Leonardo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

Beijing Guoan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 37 points after 25 outings. With 11 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:33, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Zhang Yuning (5 goals), Dawhan (4 goals), Fabio Abreu (3 goals), with creative support from Fabio Abreu (4 assists), Tze-Nam Yue (2 assists), Zhang Yuning (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SHANGHAI SIPG won 6 times, Beijing Guoan won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from SHANGHAI SIPG's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: SHANGHAI SIPG 4-2-3-1 / Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
H2H summary: SHANGHAI SIPG wins 6, draws 4, Beijing Guoan wins 5

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation