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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
26.07.2026 11:35
Jinan Olympic Sports Center
Referee: Shuran Gan, China
Shandong Luneng
Match Timeline
Henan Jianye
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
Bruno Nazario · Assist: Pedro Maranhao
Henan Jianye
⚽
45'
Lucas Maia · Assist: Bruno Nazario
Henan Jianye
🔄
46'
Memet Imran ↔ Chen Pu
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Gao Zhunyi ↔ Yang Ruiqi
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Wang Tong ↔ Shi Songchen
Shandong Luneng
⚽
57'
Cryzan · Assist: Shi Songchen
Shandong Luneng
🔄
68'
Shinar Yeljan ↔ Liu Yixin
Henan Jianye
🟨
69'
Gustavo
Henan Jianye
🟨
73'
Guilherme Madruga
Shandong Luneng
🟨
73'
Yihao Zhong
Henan Jianye
🔄
76'
He Chao ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye
VAR
82'
Maranhão
Henan Jianye
🟨
86'
Zheng Zheng
Shandong Luneng
🟨
90+1'
Shangyuan Wang
Henan Jianye
🔄
90+3'
Huang Zhengyu ↔ Y. Peng
Shandong Luneng
🔄
90+6'
Bruno Nazario ↔ Liu Jiahui
Henan Jianye
🔄
90+6'
Zhong Yihao ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye

Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shandong Luneng Win 65.1%
Draw 4.2%
Henan Jianye Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shandong Luneng1.62
Henan Jianye1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WWDLW
35 GF / 34 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
14
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
11
4.79
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 19 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 18 matches
Shandong Luneng Statistic Henan Jianye
9 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
35 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 23
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
4.79 Shots On Goal 4
14.26 Total Shots 11.72
4.42 Corners 5.33
49.3% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Henan Jianye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shandong Luneng expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Henan Jianye. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

With 24 points from 19 games and a place of 6, Shandong Luneng still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 35:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Henan Jianye Analysis

With 18 points from 18 games and a place of 12, Henan Jianye still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 23:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Nazário (3 goals), Gustavo (2 goals), Iago Maidana (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (1 assists), Shangyuan Wang (1 assists), Maranhão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 8 times, Henan Jianye won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Shandong Luneng 4-4-2 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shandong Luneng wins 8, draws 4, Henan Jianye wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation