Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shandong Luneng
19 matches
Henan Jianye
18 matches
| Shandong Luneng | Statistic | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 35 | Goals For | 23 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 14.26 | Total Shots | 11.72 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Henan Jianye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shandong Luneng expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Henan Jianye. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 24 points from 19 games and a place of 6, Shandong Luneng still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 35:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 18 points from 18 games and a place of 12, Henan Jianye still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 23:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Nazário (3 goals), Gustavo (2 goals), Iago Maidana (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (1 assists), Shangyuan Wang (1 assists), Maranhão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 8 times, Henan Jianye won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Shandong Luneng
8
3
3
4
6
5
Lineups
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49:33 | 16 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36:41 | -5 | 37 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Shandong Luneng
Home
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49:51 | -2 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 28 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40:40 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Henan Jianye
Away
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34:41 | -7 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 19 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 19 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33:51 | -18 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|