UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
20.04.2026 15:00
Arena Lviv
Referee: V. Kopiyevsky
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
B. Krushynskyi ↔ G. Maisuradze
Polessya
🔄
46'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
56'
V. Bondar · Assist: Alisson
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
62'
O. Nazarenko ↔ M. Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
62'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
70'
Eguinaldo ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
Alisson ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
80'
L. Traore ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
81'
O. Andriyevski ↔ I. Krasniqi
Polessya
🟨
84'
Maksym Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
88'
A. Bondarenko ↔ V. Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
88'
Isaque Silva ↔ Y. Nazaryna
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
90+2'
Oleg Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 45%
Draw 8.1%
Polessya Win 46.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.67
Polessya1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
87 GF / 28 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
52 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.79
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
16
BTTS Yes
10
22
Over 2.5
15
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 40 matches
Polessya Polessya 29 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic Polessya
25 Wins 16
12 Draws 4
3 Losses 9
87 Goals For 52
28 Goals Against 26
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
16 BTTS Yes 10
29 Over 1.5 23
22 Over 2.5 15
15 Over 3.5 9
24 Clean Sheets 15
6 Failed To Score 7
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.81
10.46 Total Shots 10.85
3.84 Corners 4.04
42.5% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Polessya. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 51 points from 22 games, Shakhtar Donetsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 51:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 46 points after 23 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 41:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (7 goals), O. Nazarenko (4 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), M. Gayduchyk (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 3, draws 2, Polessya wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga