UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Lviv
Referee: V. Kopiyevsky
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
B. Krushynskyi ↔ G. Maisuradze
Polessya
🔄
46'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
56'
V. Bondar · Assist: Alisson
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
62'
O. Nazarenko ↔ M. Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
62'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
70'
Eguinaldo ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
Alisson ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
80'
L. Traore ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
81'
O. Andriyevski ↔ I. Krasniqi
Polessya
🟨
84'
Maksym Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
88'
A. Bondarenko ↔ V. Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
88'
Isaque Silva ↔ Y. Nazaryna
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
90+2'
Oleg Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 45%
Draw 8.1%
Polessya Win 46.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.67
Polessya1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
87 GF / 28 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
52 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.79
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
16
BTTS Yes
10
22
Over 2.5
15
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 40 matches
Polessya Polessya 29 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic Polessya
25 Wins 16
12 Draws 4
3 Losses 9
87 Goals For 52
28 Goals Against 26
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
16 BTTS Yes 10
29 Over 1.5 23
22 Over 2.5 15
15 Over 3.5 9
24 Clean Sheets 15
6 Failed To Score 7
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.81
10.46 Total Shots 10.85
3.84 Corners 4.04
42.5% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Polessya. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 51 points from 22 games, Shakhtar Donetsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 51:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 46 points after 23 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 41:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (7 goals), O. Nazarenko (4 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), M. Gayduchyk (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 3, draws 2, Polessya wins 3

Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk
Formation
Polessya
D. Riznyk
D. Riznyk
Y. Konoplya
Y. Konoplya
V. Bondar
V. Bondar
M. Matviienko
M. Matviienko
P. Henrique
P. Henrique
O. Ocheretko
O. Ocheretko
Alisson
🎯
Alisson
A. Bondarenko
A. Bondarenko
Isaque Silva
Isaque Silva
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo
L. Traore
L. Traore
Y. Volynets
Y. Volynets
B. Mykhaylichenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
S. Chobotenko
S. Chobotenko
E. Sarapiy
E. Sarapiy
B. Krushynskyi
B. Krushynskyi
O. Andriyevski
O. Andriyevski
R. Babenko
R. Babenko
L. Emerllahu
L. Emerllahu
O. Gutsulyak
O. Gutsulyak
I. Krasnopir
I. Krasnopir
O. Nazarenko
O. Nazarenko
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
D. Riznyk
G
26
Y. Konoplya
D
5
V. Bondar
⚽ 56'
D
22
M. Matviienko
D
13
P. Henrique
D
27
O. Ocheretko
🟨 90+2'
M
30
Alisson
🎯 56' ↓ 70'
M
21
A. Bondarenko
↓ 88'
M
14
Isaque Silva
↓ 88'
M
7
Eguinaldo
↓ 70'
F
2
L. Traore
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
48
D. Tvardovskyi
4
Marlon
D
11
Newerton
↑ 70'
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
17
V. Tobias
↑ 88'
D
18
A. Ghram
D
19
Kaua Elias
↑ 80'
F
6
Marlon Gomes
M
29
Y. Nazaryna
↑ 88'
M
37
Lucas Ferreira
↑ 70'
M
49
Luca Meirelles
F
68
P. Obah
F
Polessya 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
Y. Volynets
G
15
B. Mykhaylichenko
D
44
S. Chobotenko
D
5
E. Sarapiy
D
55
B. Krushynskyi
↓ 21'
M
18
O. Andriyevski
↓ 81'
M
8
R. Babenko
M
14
L. Emerllahu
↓ 46'
M
11
O. Gutsulyak
M
95
I. Krasnopir
↓ 62'
F
7
O. Nazarenko
↓ 62'
M
Substitutes
21
G. Bushchan
G
1
O. Kudryk
G
9
O. Filippov
F
16
I. Krasniqi
↑ 81'
D
19
V. Shepelev
M
27
O. Fedor
↑ 46'
M
30
B. Lednev
M
31
G. Maisuradze
↑ 21'
D
35
K. Koberniuk
D
45
M. Bragaru
↑ 62' 🟨 84'
M
88
B. Panchyshyn
89
M. Gayduchyk
↑ 62'
F
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
09.08.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
03.08.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
5
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Bursaspor
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Al Ula
0
0
D
23.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rudes
5
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
Last matches: Polessya
10.08.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Polessya
Chornomorets
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
H2H: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya
20.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
23.04.25
H2H
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
W
15.12.24
H2H
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
L
11.08.24
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
1
L
25.05.24
H2H
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
0
L
24.11.23
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
26.07.20
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
4
1
W
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
03.08.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Al Ula
0
0
D
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
FC Kharkiv
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dinamo Tbilisi
7
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
2
1
W
03.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1
2
L
18.12.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
14.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
5
0
W
01.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
7
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Breidablik
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
3
1
W
H2H at home: Shakhtar Donetsk
20.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
11.08.24
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
1
L
24.11.23
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
26.07.20
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
4
1
W
Last matches: Polessya
02.08.26
Pre
Polessya
Chornomorets
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Polessya
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Zbrojovka Brno
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Toronto FC
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Granada CF
4
3
W
06.02.26
Fri
Polessya
BK Hacken
5
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
H2H away: Polessya
20.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
L
11.08.24
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
1
W
24.11.23
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
26.07.20
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
4
1
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga