Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk
40 matches
Polessya
29 matches
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Statistic | Polessya |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 16 |
| 12 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 9 |
| 87 | Goals For | 52 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 24 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.14 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 10.46 | Total Shots | 10.85 |
| 3.84 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 42.5% | Ball Possession | 40.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Polessya. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Operating from 2 place with 51 points from 22 games, Shakhtar Donetsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 51:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Polessya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 46 points after 23 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 41:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (7 goals), O. Nazarenko (4 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), M. Gayduchyk (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home
|
30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 71:21 | 50 | 72 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 39:17 | 22 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Polessya
Away
|
30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 51:21 | 30 | 59 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:36 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:46 | 7 | 48 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 31 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 20:51 | -31 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23:74 | -51 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
D
|