SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Referee: J. Martinez
Sevilla
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Jon Aramburu
Real Sociedad
🔄
46'
I. Romero ↔ A. Sanchez
Sevilla
🔄
46'
J. Gorrotxategi ↔ O. Oskarsson
Real Sociedad
50'
A. Sanchez · Assist: N. Maupay
Sevilla
🔄
58'
P. Marin ↔ T. Kubo
Real Sociedad
🔄
69'
B. Turrientes ↔ Y. Herrera
Real Sociedad
🟨
75'
Alexis Sánchez
Sevilla
🔄
75'
R. Vargas ↔ J. Sanchez
Sevilla
🔄
82'
N. Gudelj ↔ B. Mendy
Sevilla
🔄
82'
J. Aramburu ↔ L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🔄
82'
A. Barrenetxea ↔ Wesley
Real Sociedad
🟨
88'
José Ángel Carmona
Sevilla
🔄
90+1'
N. Maupay ↔ Peque
Sevilla
🔄
90+1'
C. Ejuke ↔ Oso
Sevilla

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 32.6%
Draw 11.1%
Real Sociedad Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.34
Real Sociedad1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla Sevilla
WWDLW
46 GF / 58 GA
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WLDWL
68 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
22
BTTS Yes
30
21
Over 2.5
25
3.39
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sevilla Sevilla 36 matches
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 41 matches
Sevilla Statistic Real Sociedad
11 Wins 17
7 Draws 12
18 Losses 12
46 Goals For 68
58 Goals Against 59
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
22 BTTS Yes 30
30 Over 1.5 33
21 Over 2.5 25
10 Over 3.5 17
5 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 4
3.39 Shots On Goal 4.8
10.67 Total Shots 12.68
4.94 Corners 5.59
50.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Real Sociedad seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Sociedad. Real Sociedad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 43 points while Sevilla sit 18 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sevilla expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Sociedad in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Sociedad having the stronger overall control. Sevilla have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Sevilla Analysis

Sevilla sit 18 with 34 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 40:55, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Adams (8 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), I. Romero (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), José Ángel Carmona (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Marcao, D. Sow, M. Bueno, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

Real Sociedad Analysis

So far, Real Sociedad have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 33 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 52:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Oyarzabal (14 goals), G. Guedes (8 goals), B. Mendez (6 goals), with creative support from A. Barrenetxea (5 assists), G. Guedes (4 assists), T. Kubo (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Odriozola, I. Ruperez, I. Zubeldia unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 7 times, Real Sociedad won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Sevilla's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-4-2 / Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sevilla 3, Real Sociedad 5
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 7, draws 3, Real Sociedad wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2