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FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
25.09.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: K. Nummela
KäPa
Match Timeline
Haka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
N. Friberg ↔ E. Auvinen
Haka
🟨
15'
M. Kuningas
KäPa
⚽
16'
O. Whyte
Haka
⚽
37'
O. Whyte · Assist: K. Nurmi
Haka
⚽
53'
N. Leinonen
KäPa
🟨
59'
Haka
Haka
🔄
61'
S. Savini ↔ R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🟨
65'
O. Whyte
Haka
🟨
69'
Haka
Haka
🔄
73'
K. Nurmi ↔ T. Lahdensuo
Haka
🔄
73'
T. Ali Abubakar ↔ M. Cisse
Haka
🔄
73'
A. Maenpaa ↔ J. Karlsson
Haka
🟨
76'
E. Auvinen
Haka
🔄
77'
H. Toivonen ↔ T. Koivuranta
KäPa
⚽
84'
M. Kuningas
KäPa
🟨
85'
Haka
Haka
🔄
90+1'
D. Enqvist ↔ T. Lehtinen
Haka
🟨
90+5'
KäPa
KäPa
⚽
90+7'
N. Leinonen
KäPa

KäPa vs Haka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 7%
Draw 6%
Haka Win 87.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.09
Haka1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
31 GF / 46 GA
Haka Haka
WLDWL
56 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 27 matches
Haka Haka 31 matches
KäPa Statistic Haka
7 Wins 17
6 Draws 8
14 Losses 6
31 Goals For 56
46 Goals Against 31
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1
17 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Haka's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Haka. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haka having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KäPa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Haka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 41 points while KäPa sit 9 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 9 with 18 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 24:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Haka Analysis

Placed 3 with 41 points from 23 outings, Haka continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 43:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 0 times, Haka won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from KäPa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 0, draws 2, Haka wins 2

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 48:26 22 58
L D W W W
2 26 14 7 5 41:21 20 49
L D L W D
3
Haka Away
26 14 5 7 50:29 21 47
W L W D L
4 26 12 8 6 36:21 15 44
W D L W L
5 26 11 2 13 23:40 -17 35
L L W L W
6 26 8 6 12 28:36 -8 30
D D W D W
7 26 8 5 13 29:44 -15 29
L D L D D
8 26 6 8 12 37:37 0 26
W W L L D
9
KäPa Home
26 6 7 13 31:46 -15 25
D W W L D
10 26 3 8 15 21:44 -23 17
W D L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen