BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Serra Branca
Match Timeline
Decisão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
Kayan
Serra Branca
45'
Harrison
Serra Branca
65'
Clayton
Serra Branca
🟥
72'
Serra Branca
Serra Branca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55%
-
Probability Distribution
Serra Branca Win 31.3%
Draw 68.8%
Decisão Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Serra Branca1.3
Decisão1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Serra Branca Serra Branca
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Decisão Decisão
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Serra Branca Serra Branca 2 matches
Decisão Decisão 3 matches
Serra Branca Statistic Decisão
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
3 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 3
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Decisão. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Decisão having the stronger overall control.

Serra Branca Analysis

Serra Branca arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 2 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Ceara (1 goals), Marcelo Toscano (1 goals), Marquinhos (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Decisão Analysis

Decisão arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 1 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 2:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tulio (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Serra Branca won 2 times, Decisão won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Serra Branca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Serra Branca wins 2, draws 0, Decisão wins 0
Last matches: Serra Branca
12.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
06.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H: Serra Branca vs Decisão
24.05.26
H2H
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
Last matches: Serra Branca
04.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Serra Branca
18.04.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
H2H away: Decisão
18.04.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)