04.09.2026 19:45
Antonio Candini
Referee: Brian Ferreyra, Argentina
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Match Timeline
Sarmiento Junin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Gonzalo Maffini
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
14'
Gonzalo Maffini
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
42'
Ulises Adrian Gimenez ↔ Gaston Gonzalez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
45'
Gonzalo González ↔ Raúl Lozano
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
49'
Lucas·Suarez ↔ Gabriel Díaz
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
62'
Siro Rosané ↔ Tomás González
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
62'
Fernando Rodríguez
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
67'
Mauro Valiente ↔ Mateo Bajamich
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
71'
Junior Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
81'
Julian Mavilla ↔ Thiago Santamaría
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
81'
Santiago Salle ↔ Gastón Alberto Arturia
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
81'
Fernando Rodríguez ↔ Martín Garnerone
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
82'
Gabriel Alanis ↔ Francesco Lo Celso
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
82'
Jonathan Herrera ↔ Elián Giménez
Sarmiento Junin

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 3.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.5%
1.40
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
3.24
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win 34.5%
Draw 24.2%
Sarmiento Junin Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.74
Sarmiento Junin1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
WWDLW
8 GF / 31 GA
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WLDWL
27 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
5
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
12
2.09
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 24 matches
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 25 matches
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Statistic Sarmiento Junin
2 Wins 11
6 Draws 1
16 Losses 13
8 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 34
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
5 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 8
17 Failed To Score 7
2.09 Shots On Goal 3.91
9.96 Total Shots 10.57
3.91 Corners 3.91
43.9% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sarmiento Junin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sarmiento Junin look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Sarmiento Junin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 19 points while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 5:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Sergio Ojeda (1 goals), Gabriel Alanís (1 goals), Facundo Cobos (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Valenti (1 assists), Raúl Lozano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Sarmiento Junin have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, while the 13:20 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Junior Marabel (5 goals), Mauricio Martínez (2 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (3 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0 times, Sarmiento Junin won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2 / Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 0, draws 1, Sarmiento Junin wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D D D L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L D L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D L L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L L W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L D D L L
Knockout Phase