BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
National Stadium Vasil Levski

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 3.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
3.70
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.26
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.47
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Septemvri Sofia Win 59.5%
Draw 9.8%
Arda Kardzhali Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Septemvri Sofia1.08
Arda Kardzhali1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
4
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 10 matches
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 10 matches
Septemvri Sofia Statistic Arda Kardzhali
4 Wins 4
0 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
12 Goals For 12
16 Goals Against 9
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia won 2 times, Arda Kardzhali won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:17 from Septemvri Sofia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: Septemvri Sofia wins 2, draws 0, Arda Kardzhali wins 6
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
10.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
08.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
16.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
0
0
D
H2H: Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
21.03.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
20.10.25
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
W
08.07.25
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
W
07.04.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
25.10.24
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
L
12.02.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
01.08.22
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
L
22.06.22
H2H
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
L
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
07.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ordabasy
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Radnicki NIS
0
4
L
20.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Neftchi
0
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
1
3
L
03.12.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
4
L
23.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
2
L
H2H at home: Septemvri Sofia
21.03.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
07.04.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.02.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
Last matches: Arda Kardzhali
10.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
3
2
W
12.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
08.05.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
09.04.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Wieczysta Kraków
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Arda Kardzhali
Kudrivka
1
1
D
06.12.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
28.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
09.11.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
3
2
W
24.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
1
1
D
05.10.25
Fir
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
H2H away: Arda Kardzhali
21.03.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
W
07.04.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
W
12.02.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.12
Draw 3.07
Home 3.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.77
Draw 2.08
Home 4.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.49
Over 2.0 1.67
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.5 4.06
Under 1.5 2.89
Under 1.75 2.54
Under 2.0 2.17
Under 2.25 1.81
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.25
Home 3.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.05
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.30
Home 3.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.01
Draw 3.18
Home 3.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 1.97
Home 4.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.34
Draw 2.30
Home 4.22
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.21
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.46
Over 2.0 1.61
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 2.75 2.49
Over 3.0 3.12
Over 3.25 3.37
Over 3.5 3.78
Over 3.75 4.74
Over 4.0 6.60
Over 4.25 6.95
Over 4.5 7.30
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 0.75 6.40
Under 1.0 5.85
Under 1.25 3.58
Under 1.5 2.74
Under 1.75 2.44
Under 2.0 2.11
Under 2.25 1.84
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.29
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.12
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.02
Draw 3.20
Home 3.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.04
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.38
Home 3.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.48
Over 3.0 3.10
Over 3.25 3.45
Over 3.5 3.80
Over 3.75 4.70
Over 4.0 6.40
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.0 2.16
Under 2.25 1.81
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.25
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.07

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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