ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Attis Arena
Scunthorpe
Match Timeline
Eastleigh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
W. Evans
Scunthorpe
18'
H. Saunders
Eastleigh
🟨
25'
H. Saunders
Eastleigh
🟨
40'
R. Aguiar
Eastleigh
🔄
46'
W. Evans ↔ A. Beestin
Scunthorpe
🔄
46'
D. Whitehall ↔ A. Dausch
Scunthorpe
🔄
46'
J. Rowley ↔ K. Scales
Scunthorpe
🔄
46'
T. Denton ↔ H. Shipstone
Scunthorpe
🔄
63'
D. Howe ↔ J. Dawson
Scunthorpe
🟨
65'
K. Evans
Eastleigh
🔄
66'
H. Saunders ↔ A. Blair
Eastleigh
🔄
66'
C. Underhill ↔ A. Waruih
Eastleigh
🔄
81'
K. Evans ↔ C. Killick
Eastleigh
🔄
82'
I. Effiong ↔ S. Bamey
Eastleigh

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Scunthorpe Win 76.8%
Draw 6.1%
Eastleigh Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Scunthorpe1.81
Eastleigh1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
WWDLW
90 GF / 67 GA
Eastleigh Eastleigh
WLDWL
60 GF / 86 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
35
BTTS Yes
32
31
Over 2.5
28
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 49 matches
Eastleigh Eastleigh 49 matches
Scunthorpe Statistic Eastleigh
25 Wins 14
13 Draws 11
11 Losses 24
90 Goals For 60
67 Goals Against 86
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
35 BTTS Yes 32
43 Over 1.5 43
31 Over 2.5 28
19 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 11
0 Corners 7
0% Ball Possession 64%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Scunthorpe's more proactive style and Eastleigh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Eastleigh. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Scunthorpe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 82 points compared to Eastleigh in 19 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Eastleigh having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Scunthorpe Analysis

Placed 5 with 82 points from 45 outings, Scunthorpe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 23 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, while the 76:60 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Roberts (18 goals), D. Whitehall (17 goals), D. Howe (12 goals), with creative support from C. Roberts (8 assists), T. Denton (6 assists), D. Whitehall (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Eastleigh Analysis

Eastleigh sit 19 with 47 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 11 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 55:79 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Blair (17 goals), H. Saunders (8 goals), L. Humphries (4 goals), with creative support from A. Harris (8 assists), J. Lundstram (6 assists), H. Saunders (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Scunthorpe won 0 times, Eastleigh won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Scunthorpe's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Scunthorpe wins 0, draws 1, Eastleigh wins 3

Lineups

Scunthorpe
Formation
Eastleigh
L. Jones
L. Jones
R. Barrows
R. Barrows
W. Evans
W. Evans
B. Horton
B. Horton
T. Denton
T. Denton
Z. Westbrooke
Z. Westbrooke
J. Rowley
J. Rowley
C. Smith
C. Smith
O. Ewing
O. Ewing
D. Howe
D. Howe
D. Whitehall
D. Whitehall
N. Townsend
N. Townsend
R. Brindley
R. Brindley
N. Maher
N. Maher
R. Aguiar
R. Aguiar
T. Eweka
T. Eweka
A. Harris
A. Harris
J. Lundstram
J. Lundstram
K. Evans
K. Evans
C. Underhill
C. Underhill
H. Saunders
H. Saunders
I. Effiong
I. Effiong
Scunthorpe 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
L. Jones
44
R. Barrows
5
W. Evans
↓ 46' 🟨 3'
3
B. Horton
33
T. Denton
↓ 46'
25
Z. Westbrooke
11
J. Rowley
↓ 46'
32
C. Smith
17
O. Ewing
7
D. Howe
↓ 63'
9
D. Whitehall
↓ 46'
Substitutes
38
R. Mahady
8
A. Beestin
↑ 46'
14
P. Jones
16
A. Dausch
↑ 46'
20
K. Scales
↑ 46'
22
J. Dawson
↑ 63'
24
H. Shipstone
↑ 46'
Eastleigh 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Townsend
2
R. Brindley
31
N. Maher
25
R. Aguiar
🟨 40'
6
T. Eweka
27
A. Harris
17
J. Lundstram
7
K. Evans
↓ 81' 🟨 65'
30
C. Underhill
↓ 66'
15
H. Saunders
⚽ 18' ↓ 66' 🟨 25'
21
I. Effiong
↓ 82'
Substitutes
22
J. McNamara
10
J. Tabor
11
A. Blair
↑ 66'
18
A. Waruih
↑ 66'
26
L. Giles
29
S. Bamey
↑ 82'
35
C. Killick
↑ 81'
Last matches: Scunthorpe
03.05.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
1
2
L
28.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Wealdstone
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Brackley Town
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
0
2
L
03.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
FC Halifax Town
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Braintree
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Truro City
2
1
W
14.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Sutton Utd
1
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
24.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
York
0
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
1
3
L
17.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Boston United
3
6
L
10.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
2
3
L
07.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
Last matches: Eastleigh
18.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Tamworth
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Altrincham
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Woking
3
3
D
28.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Forest Green
2
4
L
24.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
21.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
0
1
L
14.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Rochdale
1
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Brackley Town
2
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
York
1
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Carlisle
1
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Truro City
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Morecambe
0
4
L
14.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
10.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Solihull Moors
3
2
W
07.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Wealdstone
2
2
D
31.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Braintree
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
20.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Southend
1
4
L
17.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Aldershot Town
1
4
L
H2H: Scunthorpe vs Eastleigh
25.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
21.10.25
H2H
Eastleigh
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
04.03.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
01.11.22
H2H
Eastleigh
Scunthorpe
2
0
L
Last matches: Scunthorpe
28.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Brackley Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
0
0
D
25.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
2
2
D
14.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Sutton Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
24.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
York
0
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Boston United
3
6
L
07.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
31.01.26
FA
Scunthorpe
Horsham
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Forest Green
3
2
W
13.01.26
FA
Scunthorpe
Clitheroe
3
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
2
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Scunthorpe
Peterborough Sports
5
0
W
06.12.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Tamworth
3
1
W
22.11.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Braintree
1
1
D
08.11.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
1
0
W
25.10.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
11.10.25
FA
Scunthorpe
King's Lynn Town
4
2
W
H2H at home: Scunthorpe
25.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
Last matches: Eastleigh
11.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Altrincham
0
1
L
03.04.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Woking
3
3
D
21.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Hartlepool
0
1
L
07.03.26
Nat
Eastleigh
York
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Morecambe
0
4
L
10.02.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Solihull Moors
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Braintree
1
2
L
20.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Southend
1
4
L
03.01.26
Nat
Eastleigh
Boston United
2
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
21.12.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Gateshead
3
1
W
29.11.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Rochdale
0
2
L
15.11.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Carlisle
1
1
D
05.11.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Sutton Utd
1
2
L
18.10.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
11.10.25
FA
Eastleigh
Hampton & Richmond
2
0
W
30.09.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Truro City
2
0
W
27.09.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Wealdstone
0
0
D
13.09.25
Nat
Eastleigh
FC Halifax Town
2
2
D
06.09.25
Nat
Eastleigh
Tamworth
0
1
L
H2H away: Eastleigh
25.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
W
04.03.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation