WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Europa-Park-Stadion
Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
SC Freiburg
Match Timeline
SC Braga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
6'
Mario Dorgeles
SC Braga
19'
L. Kubler
SC Freiburg
41'
J. Manzambi · Assist: P. Treu
SC Freiburg
🟨
62'
Pau Víctor
SC Braga
🟨
65'
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
SC Braga
🔄
65'
R. Zalazar ↔ F. Navarro
SC Braga
🔄
65'
Vitor Carvalho ↔ Gabriel Moscardo
SC Braga
🟨
71'
Demir Ege Tıknaz
SC Braga
72'
L. Kubler · Assist: V. Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
77'
D. E. Tiknaz ↔ G. Martinez
SC Braga
79'
P. Victor · Assist: V. Gomez
SC Braga
🔄
80'
L. Kubler ↔ J. Makengo
SC Freiburg
🔄
81'
J. Beste ↔ B. Ogbus
SC Freiburg
🟨
90+4'
Gabriel Martínez
SC Braga
🔄
90+2'
V. Grifo ↔ L. Holer
SC Freiburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 84%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
84%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Freiburg Win 44.5%
Draw 14.4%
SC Braga Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg1.25
SC Braga1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WWDLW
67 GF / 62 GA
SC Braga SC Braga
WLDWL
96 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
25
BTTS Yes
24
26
Over 2.5
28
4.44
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 45 matches
SC Braga SC Braga 51 matches
SC Freiburg Statistic SC Braga
20 Wins 29
10 Draws 13
15 Losses 9
67 Goals For 96
62 Goals Against 45
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
25 BTTS Yes 24
34 Over 1.5 37
26 Over 2.5 28
14 Over 3.5 16
11 Clean Sheets 23
12 Failed To Score 6
4.44 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.71 Total Shots 10.51
4.29 Corners 4.65
48% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. SC Braga seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. SC Braga have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving SC Freiburg needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, SC Braga controlled more possession in the first leg (59% against 41%). SC Braga carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 6 shots on goal compared to 2. SC Braga circulated the ball more often, making 495 passes to 347 and completing 425. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Braga in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Braga having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SC Braga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

SC Freiburg Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, SC Freiburg arrive from a league campaign that has them 7 with 17 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 10:4, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on V. Grifo (5 goals), Y. Suzuki (4 goals), I. Matanovic (3 goals), with creative support from J. Beste (4 assists), V. Grifo (3 assists), Y. Suzuki (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football. Although they are without M. Rosenfelder, P. Osterhage, Y. Suzuki, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

SC Braga Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, SC Braga arrive from a league campaign that has them 6 with 17 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:5, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on R. Zalazar (6 goals), G. Martinez (5 goals), Fran Navarro (4 goals), with creative support from R. Horta (5 assists), V. Gomez (3 assists), R. Zalazar (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Barisic, S. Niakate, D. Rodrigues unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 1 times, SC Braga won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 / SC Braga 3-4-1-2
Missing players: SC Freiburg 3, SC Braga 5
H2H summary: SC Freiburg wins 1, draws 0, SC Braga wins 1
Stats
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
SC Braga SC Braga
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 8
16 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 6
13 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
500 Total passes 250
427 Passes accurate 171
1.83 expected_goals 1.84
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

SC Freiburg
Formation
SC Braga
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
L. Kubler
⚽ 2
L. Kubler
M. Ginter
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
P. Treu
🎯
P. Treu
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
N. Hofler
N. Hofler
J. Beste
J. Beste
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
V. Grifo
🎯
V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
I. Matanovic
L. Hornicek
L. Hornicek
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
P. Oliveira
P. Oliveira
Vitor Carvalho
Vitor Carvalho
V. Gomez
🎯
V. Gomez
J. Moutinho
J. Moutinho
D. E. Tiknaz
D. E. Tiknaz
M. Dorgeles
M. Dorgeles
Gorby
Gorby
R. Zalazar
R. Zalazar
P. Victor
P. Victor
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Atubolu
G
17
L. Kubler
⚽ 19' ⚽ 72' ↓ 80'
D
28
M. Ginter
D
3
P. Lienhart
D
29
P. Treu
🎯 41'
D
8
M. Eggestein
M
27
N. Hofler
M
19
J. Beste
↓ 81'
M
44
J. Manzambi
⚽ 41'
M
32
V. Grifo
🎯 72' ↓ 90+2'
M
31
I. Matanovic
F
Substitutes
21
F. Muller
G
24
J. Huth
G
9
L. Holer
↑ 90+2'
F
26
M. Philipp
F
33
J. Makengo
↑ 80'
D
43
B. Ogbus
↑ 81'
D
65
K. Steinmann
D
30
C. Gunter
D
5
A. Jung
D
7
D. Scherhant
F
22
C. Irie
F
69
R. Tarnutzer
M
SC Braga 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hornicek
G
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
15
P. Oliveira
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
↓ 65'
D
2
V. Gomez
🎯 79'
M
8
J. Moutinho
M
34
D. E. Tiknaz
↓ 77' 🟨 71'
M
20
M. Dorgeles
🟥 6'
M
29
Gorby
🟨 65'
F
10
R. Zalazar
↓ 65'
F
18
P. Victor
⚽ 79' 🟨 62'
F
Substitutes
12
T. Sa
G
36
A. Bellaarouch
G
5
L. Lelo
D
53
J. Noro
41
Y. da Rocha
M
70
R. Mordomo
77
G. Martinez
↑ 77' 🟨 90+4'
F
21
R. Horta
F
39
F. Navarro
↑ 65'
F
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
17
Gabriel Moscardo
↑ 65'
M
90
Luisinho
M
Last matches: SC Freiburg
24.07.26
Fri
SC Freiburg
Derby
3
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
10.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
1
2
L
26.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
22.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
01.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
Last matches: SC Braga
22.07.26
UEF
SC Braga
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Vizela
5
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Stoke City
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
H2H: SC Freiburg vs SC Braga
07.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
30.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
L
Last matches: SC Freiburg
24.07.26
Fri
SC Freiburg
Derby
3
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
0
W
10.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Utrecht
2
0
W
H2H at home: SC Freiburg
07.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
Last matches: SC Braga
22.07.26
UEF
SC Braga
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Vizela
5
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Stoke City
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Nacional
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
AVS
4
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
SC Braga
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Tondela
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
3
3
D
19.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
SC Braga
Nice
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
1
W
01.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
4
0
W
H2H away: SC Braga
07.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
L

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:5 13 21
W W W W L
2 8 7 0 1 14:6 8 21
W W W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W L W W W
5 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W D W W D
6 8 5 2 1 11:5 6 17
D W W D L
7 8 5 2 1 10:4 6 17
L W W D W
8 8 5 1 2 13:6 7 16
D W W W W
9 8 5 1 2 11:7 4 16
W W L W W
10 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W D W W D
11 8 5 0 3 15:9 6 15
W L W W W
12 8 4 3 1 12:11 1 15
L D W D W
13 8 4 2 2 15:7 8 14
W L W W D
14 8 3 5 0 8:3 5 14
W D D D D
15 8 4 2 2 7:6 1 14
D W W W W
16 8 4 1 3 15:11 4 13
D W L L W
17 8 3 3 2 17:14 3 12
L W D D W
18 8 4 0 4 12:9 3 12
W L L W L
19 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
D L W D D
20 8 3 3 2 11:9 2 12
D D D W W
21 8 3 2 3 13:15 -2 11
W D L W L
22 8 3 1 4 12:15 -3 10
W L D W L
23 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
L W L L L
24 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L D L D D
25 8 3 0 5 10:16 -6 9
L L W L L
26 8 2 1 5 5:11 -6 7
W L L L D
27 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L W L L
28 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
D L L L L
29 8 2 0 6 11:15 -4 6
L W L L L
30 8 2 0 6 9:13 -4 6
L L L L W
31 8 2 0 6 10:15 -5 6
L W L L W
32 8 1 1 6 5:14 -9 4
L W L D L
33 8 1 0 7 7:15 -8 3
L W L L L
34 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L L D
35 8 0 1 7 4:15 -11 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 2:22 -20 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

SC Freiburg 3 missing
-
M. Rosenfelder
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
P. Osterhage
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Y. Suzuki
Missing Fixture Broken collarbone
OUT
SC Braga 5 missing
-
A. Barisic
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Niakate
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
D. Rodrigues
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
B. Arrey-Mbi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Grillitsch
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT