Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
89.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
84%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
79.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SC Freiburg
45 matches
SC Braga
51 matches
| SC Freiburg | Statistic | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 29 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 15 | Losses | 9 |
| 67 | Goals For | 96 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 23 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.44 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12.71 | Total Shots | 10.51 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. SC Braga seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. SC Braga have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving SC Freiburg needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, SC Braga controlled more possession in the first leg (59% against 41%). SC Braga carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 6 shots on goal compared to 2. SC Braga circulated the ball more often, making 495 passes to 347 and completing 425. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Braga in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Braga having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SC Braga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Ahead of this knockout test, SC Freiburg arrive from a league campaign that has them 7 with 17 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 10:4, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on V. Grifo (5 goals), Y. Suzuki (4 goals), I. Matanovic (3 goals), with creative support from J. Beste (4 assists), V. Grifo (3 assists), Y. Suzuki (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football. Although they are without M. Rosenfelder, P. Osterhage, Y. Suzuki, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Ahead of this knockout test, SC Braga arrive from a league campaign that has them 6 with 17 points after 8 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:5, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on R. Zalazar (6 goals), G. Martinez (5 goals), Fran Navarro (4 goals), with creative support from R. Horta (5 assists), V. Gomez (3 assists), R. Zalazar (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Barisic, S. Niakate, D. Rodrigues unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 1 times, SC Braga won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
SC Braga
Away
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Home
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 32 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | -20 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|