Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SC Freiburg
47 matches
RB Leipzig
33 matches
| SC Freiburg | Statistic | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 72 | Goals For | 65 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.49 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 12.68 | Total Shots | 15.85 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by RB Leipzig's more proactive style and SC Freiburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 65 points while SC Freiburg sit 7 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and RB Leipzig in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RB Leipzig having the stronger overall control. RB Leipzig look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
SC Freiburg sit 7 with 44 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 47:56 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Matanovic (10 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), Johan Manzambi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Grifo (4 assists), Matthias Ginter (4 assists), Johan Manzambi (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
RB Leipzig come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 65 points after 33 matches. The return of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 65:43, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Baumgartner (13 goals), Yan Diomande (12 goals), Romulo Cardoso (10 goals), with creative support from C. Baumgartner (8 assists), Yan Diomande (8 assists), D. Raum (7 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 1 times, RB Leipzig won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Home
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|