SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- |
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SC Freiburg
41 matches
1. FC Heidenheim
29 matches
| SC Freiburg | Statistic | 1. FC Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 4 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 18 |
| 63 | Goals For | 32 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.21 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.48 |
| 12.85 | Total Shots | 11.21 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 4.45 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. 1. FC Heidenheim seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring 1. FC Heidenheim. SC Freiburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 40 points compared to 1. FC Heidenheim in 18 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
SC Freiburg sit 8 with 40 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 42:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Matanovic (8 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), D. Scherhant (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Ginter (4 assists), Y. Suzuki (3 assists), Jan-Niklas Beste (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Kyereh, M. Rosenfelder, P. Osterhage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 19 points from 29 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 32:64, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), J. Niehues (3 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Paqarada, M. Kaufmann, S. Conteh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 5 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Home
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|