GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
19.04.2026 13:30
Europa-Park-Stadion
Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
SC Freiburg
Match Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
J. Manzambi · Assist: V. Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
46'
J. Niehues ↔ B. Zivzivadze
1. FC Heidenheim
58'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: M. Honsak
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
68'
J. Manzambi ↔ N. Hofler
SC Freiburg
🔄
68'
I. Matanovic ↔ Y. Suzuki
SC Freiburg
🔄
68'
D. Scherhant ↔ J. Beste
SC Freiburg
🟨
70'
Lucas Höler
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ C. Conteh
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
76'
M. Honsak ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
76'
N. Dorsch ↔ A. Beck
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
78'
C. Gunter ↔ J. Makengo
SC Freiburg
83'
M. Eggestein · Assist: V. Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
85'
L. Kubler ↔ P. Lienhart
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
SC Freiburg Win 88.8%
Draw 0%
1. FC Heidenheim Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg1.81
1. FC Heidenheim1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WWDLW
63 GF / 54 GA
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WLDWL
32 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
22
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
20
4.56
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 41 matches
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 29 matches
SC Freiburg Statistic 1. FC Heidenheim
19 Wins 4
9 Draws 7
13 Losses 18
63 Goals For 32
54 Goals Against 64
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
22 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 0
11 Failed To Score 11
4.56 Shots On Goal 3.48
12.85 Total Shots 11.21
4.54 Corners 4.45
48% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. 1. FC Heidenheim seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring 1. FC Heidenheim. SC Freiburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 40 points compared to 1. FC Heidenheim in 18 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg sit 8 with 40 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 42:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Matanovic (8 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), D. Scherhant (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Ginter (4 assists), Y. Suzuki (3 assists), Jan-Niklas Beste (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Kyereh, M. Rosenfelder, P. Osterhage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 19 points from 29 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 32:64, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), J. Niehues (3 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Paqarada, M. Kaufmann, S. Conteh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 5 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
Missing players: SC Freiburg 2, 1. FC Heidenheim 5
H2H summary: SC Freiburg wins 5, draws 1, 1. FC Heidenheim wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation