ITALY COPPA ITALIA
17.08.2026 16:30
Mapei Stadium
Referee: Niccolo Turrini, Italy
Sassuolo
Match Timeline
Cesena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
M. Piacentini ↔ M. Ilic
Cesena
13'
C. Volpato · Assist: S. Cinquegrano
Sassuolo
45'
V. Adzic · Assist: J. Doig
Sassuolo
🔄
46'
M. Caprini ↔ A. Fiori
Cesena
🟨
64'
Antonio David
Cesena
🔄
66'
K. Bowie ↔ A. Ghion
Sassuolo
🔄
66'
N. Matic ↔ B. Dominguez
Sassuolo
🔄
68'
M. Guidi ↔ L. Schirone
Cesena
🔄
68'
R. Pagano ↔ M. Francesconi
Cesena
🟨
72'
Luca Schirone
Cesena
🔄
72'
V. Adzic ↔ L. Lipani
Sassuolo
75'
L. Lipani · Assist: D. Bakola
Sassuolo
🔄
82'
S. Cinquegrano ↔ F. Missori
Sassuolo
🔄
82'
T. Macchioni ↔ A. Di Bitonto
Sassuolo
🔄
83'
C. Shpendi ↔ A. Debenedetti
Cesena

Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sassuolo Win 70.6%
Draw 11.9%
Cesena Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sassuolo0.7
Cesena1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sassuolo Sassuolo
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Cesena Cesena
WLDWL
7 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0
3
BTTS Yes
0
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sassuolo Sassuolo 6 matches
Cesena Cesena 4 matches
Sassuolo Statistic Cesena
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
7 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 0
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0
3 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo won 4 times, Cesena won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Sassuolo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Sassuolo 4-3-3 / Cesena 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sassuolo wins 4, draws 1, Cesena wins 1