Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
42.1%
|
4.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sassuolo
13 matches
AC Milan
10 matches
| Sassuolo | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 20 | Goals For | 17 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 15.86 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 4 |
| 48.7% | Ball Possession | 60.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AC Milan's more proactive style and Sassuolo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sassuolo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and AC Milan in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Milan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Milan. AC Milan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 11 points while Sassuolo sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
So far, Sassuolo have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vasilije Adžić (3 goals), Josh Doig (1 goals), Kieron Bowie (1 goals), with creative support from Vasilije Adžić (1 assists), Armand Laurienté (1 assists), Nemanja Matić (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
AC Milan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 11 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 10:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Diego Moreira (3 goals), Adrien Rabiot (2 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (2 goals), with creative support from Adrien Rabiot (2 assists), Samuel Chukwueze (2 assists), Gonçalo Ramos (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo won 4 times, AC Milan won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from Sassuolo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Away
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Sassuolo
Home
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|