NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Live Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
D. Karlsbakk · Assist: C. Niyukuri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
J. Bell ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🟨
59'
T. Moi
Viking
🔄
63'
K. Askildsen ↔ J. Hansen
Viking
🔄
63'
N. Fuglestad ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
63'
H. Heggheim ↔ S. Bjorshol
Viking
🔄
64'
N. Williams ↔ A. Sher
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
68'
S. Bjorshol
Viking
🔄
73'
K. Haugen ↔ V. Auklend
Viking
🔄
74'
C. Niyukuri ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
74'
A. Nibe ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ J. Berget
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
V. E. Halvorsen ↔ N. Skuseth
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.2%
1.66
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 32%
Draw 3.8%
Viking Win 64.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.31
Viking2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
35 GF / 32 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
51 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
2.68
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
13
4.27
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 22 matches
Viking Viking 19 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Viking
11 Wins 15
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 1
35 Goals For 51
32 Goals Against 17
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 2.68
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 0
4.27 Shots On Goal 5.8
11.45 Total Shots 15.4
4.91 Corners 6.3
44.3% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Viking.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Karlsbakk (3 goals), V. E. Halvorsen (3 goals), S. Sorli (2 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (2 assists), C. Niyukuri (2 assists), V. E. Halvorsen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 27 points after 10 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 29:10 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Gianni Stensness (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (13 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 3 times, Viking won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Viking 3
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 3, draws 2, Viking wins 8
Stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking Viking
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 4
4 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
368 Total passes 513
286 Passes accurate 440
1.14 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation
Viking
Leander Øy
Leander Øy
Claus Niyukuri
🎯
Claus Niyukuri
Bjorn Utvik
Bjorn Utvik
Magnar Odegaard
Magnar Odegaard
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk
Noa Williams
Noa Williams
Ľubomír Belko
Ľubomír Belko
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness
Anders Baertelsen
Anders Baertelsen
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen
Joe Bell
Joe Bell
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Zlatko Tripić
Zlatko Tripić
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Starting XI
87
Leander Øy
G
12
Claus Niyukuri
🎯 22' ↓ 74'
D
4
Bjorn Utvik
D
5
Magnar Odegaard
D
21
Anders Hiim
D
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
↓ 83'
M
10
Sondre Sörli
M
8
Sander Christiansen
M
33
Andreas Hansen
↓ 74'
M
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
⚽ 22' ↓ 83'
F
17
Noa Williams
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
54
Jesper Holter Skjoren
G
3
Nikolai Skuseth
↑ 83'
D
32
Eirik Wichne
↑ 74'
D
50
Magnus Mevik Eidal
D
18
Bop Guèye
↑ 74'
M
15
Michael Opoku
M
6
Aimar Sher
↑ 64'
M
14
Jo Inge Berget
↑ 83'
F
7
Camil Mmaee
M
Viking 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Ľubomír Belko
G
5
Henrik Heggheim
↓ 63'
D
6
Gianni Stensness
D
21
Anders Baertelsen
D
28
Kristoffer Haugen
↓ 73'
D
8
Joe Bell
↓ 46'
M
23
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
↓ 63'
M
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
↓ 63'
M
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
M
10
Zlatko Tripić
M
20
Peter Christiansen
F
Substitutes
29
Tobias Moi
↑ 46' 🟨 59'
M
1
Arild Østbø
G
24
Vetle Auklend
↑ 73'
D
3
Viljar Vevatne
D
2
Herman Johan Haugen
↑ 63'
D
18
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
↑ 63' 🟨 68'
D
17
Edvin Austbø
F
33
Jakob Segadal Hansen
↑ 63'
M
15
Ola Visted
M
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sirius
3
2
W
Last matches: Viking
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
H2H: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking
01.03.26
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
3
3
D
09.07.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
27.10.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
01.04.24
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
L
11.06.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
3
L
16.10.22
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
1
L
31.10.21
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
25.06.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
05.04.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
0
D
22.11.20
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
3
0
W
H2H at home: Sarpsborg 08 FF
27.09.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
3
3
D
09.07.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
3
L
03.04.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
1
L
25.06.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
05.04.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
0
D
22.11.20
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
L
Last matches: Viking
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
27.09.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
3
3
D
09.07.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
3
W
03.04.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
1
W
25.06.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
W
05.04.21
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
0
D
22.11.20
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.66
Draw 4.58
Home 4.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.17
Draw 2.80
Home 4.52
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.79
Over 3.5 2.01
Over 3.75 2.25
Over 4.0 2.69
Over 4.5 3.30
Over 5.5 6.08
Under 1.5 7.59
Under 2.5 3.13
Under 2.75 2.71
Under 3.0 2.49
Under 3.25 2.09
Under 3.5 1.88
Under 3.75 1.68
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 5.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.70
Draw 4.20
Home 4.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 2.50
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.75
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 4.34
Home 4.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.09
Draw 2.51
Home 4.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.88
Draw 3.04
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.09
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 2.75 1.44
Over 3.0 1.54
Over 3.25 1.81
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 3.75 2.24
Over 4.0 2.52
Over 4.25 2.74
Over 4.5 2.99
Over 4.75 3.50
Over 5.0 4.55
Over 5.25 4.84
Over 5.5 5.10
Over 6.0 8.40
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 12.50
Under 1.5 5.70
Under 1.75 5.29
Under 2.0 4.85
Under 2.25 3.42
Under 2.5 2.76
Under 2.75 2.53
Under 3.0 2.27
Under 3.25 2.02
Under 3.5 1.82
Under 3.75 1.67
Under 4.0 1.44
Under 4.25 1.35
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.13
Under 5.25 1.11
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.70
Draw 4.10
Home 4.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 2.55
Home 4.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.95
Home 3.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.29
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.86
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.88
Over 4.25 3.15
Over 4.5 3.45
Over 4.75 4.10
Over 5.0 5.40
Over 5.25 5.60
Over 5.5 5.80
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.25 3.20
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 2.75 2.33
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.0 1.35
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 22:14 8 28
W D D L W
2 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 12 7 1 4 19:11 8 22
W L L W L
5 12 6 2 4 20:15 5 20
D W L W L
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 12 4 2 6 15:22 -7 14
L W D W L
10 12 4 2 6 13:21 -8 14
L W L W L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 12 2 6 4 17:22 -5 12
D D D W W
13 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 missing
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Opoku
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Viking 3 missing
-
H. Falchener
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT