NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
19.04.2026 15:00
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Leo Cornic
Tromso
⚽
59'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd · Assist: J. Hjerto-Dahl
Tromso
🔄
65'
N. Williams ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
71'
H. Larsen ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🔄
72'
C. Niyukuri ↔ V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
72'
S. Christiansen ↔ J. Berget
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
80'
L. Cornic ↔ I. Vadebu
Tromso
🔄
86'
A. Nibe ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
90+1'
L. O. Larsen ↔ J. Husebo
Tromso

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Tromso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 49.6%
Draw 3.6%
Tromso Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
Tromso1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
15 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.2
8
BTTS Yes
2
8
Over 2.5
2
5.75
Shots on Goal
6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 14 matches
Tromso Tromso 10 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Tromso
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 0
26 Goals For 15
17 Goals Against 2
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.2
8 BTTS Yes 2
13 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 2
5.75 Shots On Goal 6.4
13.25 Total Shots 15
5.25 Corners 7.4
41.3% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Sarpsborg 08 FF appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Tromso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 8 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Tromso look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tromso. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF are currently 8 in the standings with 5 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 2:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Sher (1 goals), C. Niyukuri (1 goals), D. Karlsbakk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (1 assists), B. Utvik (1 assists), M. Opoku (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with F. Carstensen, P. Reinhardsen, J. Berget unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 6:1, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Hjerto-Dahl (4 goals), D. Braut (2 goals), H. Larsen (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (3 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), D. Edvardsson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Grundt unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 6 times, Tromso won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 5, Tromso 1
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 6, draws 2, Tromso wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen