Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
96.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.2%
|
- |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF
14 matches
Tromso
10 matches
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | Statistic | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 26 | Goals For | 15 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.2 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 6.4 |
| 13.25 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 7.4 |
| 41.3% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Sarpsborg 08 FF appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Tromso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 8 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Tromso look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tromso. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tromso in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tromso having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Sarpsborg 08 FF are currently 8 in the standings with 5 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 2:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Sher (1 goals), C. Niyukuri (1 goals), D. Karlsbakk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (1 assists), B. Utvik (1 assists), M. Opoku (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with F. Carstensen, P. Reinhardsen, J. Berget unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Tromso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 6:1, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Hjerto-Dahl (4 goals), D. Braut (2 goals), H. Larsen (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (3 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), D. Edvardsson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Grundt unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 6 times, Tromso won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
6
3
3
4
3
Lineups
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
Tromso
Aalesund
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Tromso
Valerenga
Tromso
Orgryte IS
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
Aalesund
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Molde
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Sandefjord
Tromso
Lillestrom
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
Rosenborg
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
Tromso
Aalesund
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Lyn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 31 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 39:15 | 24 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Tromso
Away
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 15 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 24 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 22 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 20 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 22:36 | -14 | 14 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
L
L
W
L
L
|