23.07.2026 22:30
Estadio Eva Peron
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina
Sarmiento Junin
Match Timeline
Argentinos JRS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Elián Giménez
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
16'
Franco Paredes
Argentinos JRS
🟨
24'
Iván Morales
Argentinos JRS
30'
J. Marabel · Assist: P. Magnin
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
38'
E. Godoy ↔ K. Coronel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
43'
Francisco Álvarez
Argentinos JRS
🟨
45+1'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
46'
E. Gimenez ↔ M. Garcia
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
46'
L. Gomez ↔ K. Gutierrez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
46'
I. Morales ↔ T. Molina
Argentinos JRS
48'
A. Lescano · Assist: T. Molina
Argentinos JRS
🟨
53'
Cristian Zabala
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
54'
Alan Lescano
Argentinos JRS
🔄
57'
P. Magnin ↔ J. Herrera
Sarmiento Junin
58'
S. Prieto
Argentinos JRS
69'
R. Orihuela · Assist: C. Zabala
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
72'
F. Jainikoski ↔ D. Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
76'
Diego Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
80'
G. Veron ↔ H. Lopez
Argentinos JRS
🔄
84'
S. Salle ↔ J. Mavilla
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
84'
J. Marabel ↔ Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
90+1'
Diego Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟥
90+1'
Diego Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
90+1'
G. Diaz ↔ G. Gonzalez
Sarmiento Junin
90'
D. Porcel · Assist: H. Lopez
Argentinos JRS

Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos JRS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 44.8%
Draw 7.8%
Argentinos JRS Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin0.76
Argentinos JRS1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
6
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
3.56
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 18 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 22 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic Argentinos JRS
7 Wins 11
1 Draws 7
10 Losses 4
14 Goals For 23
22 Goals Against 16
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
6 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 5
3.56 Shots On Goal 4.9
9.88 Total Shots 13.71
3.5 Corners 5.57
47.4% Ball Possession 62.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Argentinos JRS's more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentinos JRS. Argentinos JRS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 29 points while Sarmiento Junin sit 11 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. Sarmiento Junin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Marabel (6 goals), Diego Churin (2 goals), C. Villalba (1 goals), with creative support from J. Marabel (3 assists), J. Contrera (2 assists), Jonatan Gómez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 29 points after 16 outings. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 17:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Molina (4 goals), Alan Lescano (3 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), with creative support from N. Oroz (3 assists), H. Lopez (2 assists), F. Jainikoski (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 2 times, Argentinos JRS won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 2, draws 3, Argentinos JRS wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase