Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.6%
|
2.00 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
2.15 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Sao Paulo
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
20 matches
Santos
21 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 25 | Goals For | 32 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 3.8 |
| 11.75 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 6.35 | Corners | 5.35 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Santos. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sao Paulo sit 8 with 25 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Luciano (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), Luciano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Santos sit 15 with 21 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Santos won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Away
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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