BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Referee: S. Sampaio
Sao Paulo
Match Timeline
Gremio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Weverton
Gremio
24'
Lucas Moura
Sao Paulo
🔄
32'
D. Bobadilla ↔ Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
🔄
40'
Edenilson ↔ Willian
Gremio
🟨
43'
Luciano
Sao Paulo
🟨
45+4'
Pablo Maia
Sao Paulo
🟨
45+5'
Wagner Leonardo
Gremio
🟨
47'
Wagner Leonardo
Gremio
🟥
47'
Wagner Leonardo
Gremio
🔄
52'
F. Amuzu ↔ Gustavo Martins
Gremio
59'
Jonathan Calleri · Assist: Luciano
Sao Paulo
🔄
68'
Joao Pedro ↔ J. Enamorado
Gremio
🔄
68'
Carlos Vinicius ↔ Andre Henrique
Gremio
🔄
68'
Tete ↔ C. Pavon
Gremio
🔄
70'
A. Franco ↔ G. Tapia
Sao Paulo
🔄
71'
Lucas Moura ↔ N. Ferraresi
Sao Paulo
🔄
85'
Marcos Antonio ↔ Pedro Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🔄
85'
Luciano ↔ Ferreira
Sao Paulo
🟨
90+5'
Andre Henrique
Gremio

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.9
Gremio2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Gremio Gremio
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
3
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2 matches
Gremio Gremio 2 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic Gremio
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
3 Goals For 6
2 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
9.5 Total Shots 13
3 Corners 5
45% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Gremio won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-3-1-2 / Gremio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 2, Gremio wins 7
Stats
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Gremio Gremio
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
3 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 1
12 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
516 Total passes 381
463 Passes accurate 318
4.38 expected_goals 0.31
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Sao Paulo
Formation
Gremio
Rafael
Rafael
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon
A. Franco
A. Franco
Sabino
Sabino
E. Diaz
E. Diaz
D. Bobadilla
D. Bobadilla
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Marcos Antonio
Marcos Antonio
Lucas Moura
Lucas Moura
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri
Luciano
🎯
Luciano
Weverton
Weverton
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Fabian Balbuena
Fabian Balbuena
Wagner Leonardo
Wagner Leonardo
Marlon
Marlon
E. Noriega
E. Noriega
Arthur Melo
Arthur Melo
Edenilson
Edenilson
Tete
Tete
Carlos Vinicius
Carlos Vinicius
F. Amuzu
F. Amuzu
Sao Paulo 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
23
Rafael
G
19
Lucas Ramon
28
A. Franco
↓ 70'
D
35
Sabino
D
13
E. Diaz
D
16
D. Bobadilla
↓ 32'
M
94
Danielzinho
M
8
Marcos Antonio
↓ 85'
M
7
Lucas Moura
⚽ 24' ↓ 71'
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
⚽ 59'
F
10
Luciano
🎯 59' ↓ 85' 🟨 43'
F
Substitutes
31
Carlos Coronel
G
4
Matheus Doria
D
32
N. Ferraresi
↑ 71'
D
42
Maik
D
18
Wendell
D
2
R. Toloi
D
46
Pedro Ferreira
↑ 85'
M
29
Pablo Maia
↑ 32' 🟨 45+4'
M
33
Luan Silva
M
45
Lucca Marques
F
14
G. Tapia
↑ 70'
F
11
Ferreira
↑ 85'
F
Gremio 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Weverton
🟨 22'
G
18
Joao Pedro
↓ 68'
D
2
Fabian Balbuena
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
🟨 45+5' 🟨 47' 🟥 47'
D
23
Marlon
D
19
E. Noriega
M
29
Arthur Melo
M
8
Edenilson
↓ 40'
M
21
Tete
↓ 68'
F
95
Carlos Vinicius
↓ 68'
F
9
F. Amuzu
↓ 52'
F
Substitutes
12
Gabriel Grando
G
4
Walter Kannemann
D
53
Gustavo Martins
↑ 52'
D
14
Marcos Rocha
D
38
Caio Paulista
D
88
Willian
↑ 40'
M
39
Tiago
M
17
Dodi
M
99
J. Enamorado
↑ 68'
F
37
Gabriel Mec
F
77
Andre Henrique
↑ 68' 🟨 90+5'
F
7
C. Pavon
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: Sao Paulo
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Gremio
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Gremio
08.08.26
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
12.02.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
17.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
3
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
31.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
18.10.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
12.02.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
18.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
W
17.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
3
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
W
31.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
18.10.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
12.02.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
17.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
3
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
31.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
18.10.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 6 2 38:16 22 48
D W L W W
2 21 12 6 3 39:18 21 42
W D D W W
3 22 12 4 6 30:19 11 40
W D W W W
4 22 9 8 5 31:26 5 35
D D D D D
5 22 9 6 7 30:31 -1 33
W W L W D
6 22 8 9 5 29:25 4 33
D D D D W
7 22 8 8 6 24:20 4 32
W D D W W
8 21 9 4 8 26:22 4 31
L D D W W
9 21 8 6 7 35:33 2 30
D W D W L
10 22 8 6 8 27:29 -2 30
W L D L L
11 21 8 5 8 27:27 0 29
D W D W L
12 21 7 5 9 26:25 1 26
L D L L D
13 22 7 5 10 22:33 -11 26
L L L D W
14 21 6 7 8 24:27 -3 25
W D L L W
15 21 6 5 10 24:30 -6 23
L W D W L
16 22 5 8 9 23:27 -4 23
D D L L L
17 21 5 7 9 29:35 -6 22
L D L W L
18 21 5 7 9 23:31 -8 22
D D L L L
19 22 5 7 10 26:36 -10 22
D L W L W
20 21 1 7 13 20:43 -23 10
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B