Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
18 matches
Atletico Paranaense
20 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 25 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.83 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 12.22 |
| 6.56 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Paranaense. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sao Paulo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sao Paulo sit 8 with 25 points after 18 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Luciano (6 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), D. Bobadilla (2 assists), Marcos Antonio (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 4 with 30 points from 18 outings, Atletico Paranaense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 24:18 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Viveros (11 goals), S. Mendoza (5 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from G. Benavidez (5 assists), L. Esquivel (3 assists), Joao Cruz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 8 times, Atletico Paranaense won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Sao Paulo
3
3
7
6
8
2
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|