BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
São Luiz
Match Timeline
Santa Catarina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Valber Junior
São Luiz
17'
Mendes
Santa Catarina
28'
Valber Junior
São Luiz
30'
Renan
Santa Catarina
45'
Brandao
São Luiz
56'
Brandao
São Luiz
59'
Alex Goncalves
Santa Catarina
83'
Alex Goncalves
Santa Catarina

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Probability Distribution
São Luiz Win 75.4%
Draw 24.6%
Santa Catarina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Luiz0.2
Santa Catarina0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Luiz São Luiz
WWDLW
0 GF / 4 GA
Santa Catarina Santa Catarina
WLDWL
1 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Luiz São Luiz 3 matches
Santa Catarina Santa Catarina 2 matches
São Luiz Statistic Santa Catarina
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
0 Goals For 1
4 Goals Against 1
0 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
0 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 0
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Catarina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Santa Catarina. Santa Catarina carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 3 points while São Luiz sit 6 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

São Luiz Analysis

From their first 2 matches, São Luiz have collected 1 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 0:2 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santa Catarina Analysis

Placed 4 with 3 points from 2 outings, Santa Catarina continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, while the 1:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mendes (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, São Luiz won 0 times, Santa Catarina won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from São Luiz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: São Luiz wins 0, draws 1, Santa Catarina wins 1
Last matches: São Luiz
07.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
02.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
0
3
L
26.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
0
3
L
Last matches: Santa Catarina
07.06.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
São Luiz
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
0
1
L
H2H: São Luiz vs Santa Catarina
23.05.26
H2H
Santa Catarina
São Luiz
1
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
Last matches: São Luiz
07.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
1
2
L
H2H at home: São Luiz
18.04.26
H2H
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
Last matches: Santa Catarina
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cianorte
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Joinville
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Santa Catarina
Cascavel
0
1
L
H2H away: Santa Catarina
18.04.26
H2H
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)