BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
São Luiz
Match Timeline
Joinville
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Brandao
São Luiz
20'
Thomaz
Joinville
22'
Nathan Zamith
São Luiz
52'
Thiago Andre
São Luiz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS No
78.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Luiz Win 29.2%
Draw 23.1%
Joinville Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Luiz0.7
Joinville1
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Luiz São Luiz
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Joinville Joinville
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Luiz São Luiz 10 matches
Joinville Joinville 9 matches
São Luiz Statistic Joinville
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
8 Goals For 9
10 Goals Against 5
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
1 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Joinville's more proactive style and São Luiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Joinville having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Joinville. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

São Luiz Analysis

São Luiz come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 12 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brandao (2 goals), Thiago Andre (2 goals), Valber Junior (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Joinville Analysis

Placed 3 with 15 points from 9 outings, Joinville continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Erverson (3 goals), Iago Dias (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, São Luiz won 2 times, Joinville won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from São Luiz's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
H2H summary: São Luiz wins 2, draws 0, Joinville wins 4
Last matches: São Luiz
04.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
Velo Clube
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
Last matches: Joinville
30.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
03.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
H2H: São Luiz vs Joinville
07.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
04.04.26
H2H
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
L
26.05.25
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
14.11.20
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
2
1
W
02.10.20
H2H
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
L
Last matches: São Luiz
20.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
1
2
L
H2H at home: São Luiz
07.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
26.05.25
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
14.11.20
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
2
1
W
Last matches: Joinville
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
27.04.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
1
1
D
H2H away: Joinville
07.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
L
26.05.25
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
W
14.11.20
H2H
São Luiz
Joinville
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)