BRAZIL SERIE B
14.06.2026 14:00
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
Sport Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Daniel Amorim
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Yago Felipe ↔ Pedro Martins
Sport Recife
🟨
49'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
🟥
49'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
51'
Echapora ↔ Luizao
São Bernardo
🟨
58'
Madson
Sport Recife
🔄
63'
Romisson ↔ Hugo Sanches
São Bernardo
🔄
63'
Ze Lucas ↔ Marlon Douglas
Sport Recife
🔄
63'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🔄
73'
Pedro Vitor ↔ W. Gonzaga
São Bernardo
🔄
74'
Dudu Miraima ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
77'
Biel Fonseca ↔ de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🟨
80'
Marlon
Sport Recife
🔄
85'
Felipinho ↔ Edson Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
90+6'
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife

São Bernardo vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 37.1%
Draw 12.5%
Sport Recife Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.27
Sport Recife1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
20 GF / 10 GA
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WLDWL
16 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 12 matches
Sport Recife Sport Recife 12 matches
São Bernardo Statistic Sport Recife
7 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 1
20 Goals For 16
10 Goals Against 8
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 4.17
10.25 Total Shots 12.67
3.5 Corners 4.33
43.7% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Recife. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Sport Recife look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

São Bernardo Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 21 points from 11 games, São Bernardo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Daniel Amorim (2 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Foguinho (2 goals), with creative support from Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 22 points after 11 matches. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), de Pena Carlos (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Sport Recife won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from São Bernardo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-2-3-1 / Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 0, draws 1, Sport Recife wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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