Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
75.7%
|
1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.18 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.11 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
23 matches
Nautico Recife
23 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 27 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 16.35 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 48.7% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and São Bernardo's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. São Bernardo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control.
São Bernardo sit 12 with 30 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 31:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Nautico Recife sit 15 with 27 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 26:26, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Dodô (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 1 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from São Bernardo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
São Bernardo
3
2
8
7
4
1
Lineups
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|