BRAZIL SERIE B
10.09.2026 22:30
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: L. Willers Lorenzatto
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Caio César Rodrigues Souza · Assist: João Vitor de Souza Martins
Londrina
🔄
16'
Pará ↔ Mário Sérgio Valerio
São Bernardo
43'
Foguinho · Assist: Mário Sérgio Valerio
São Bernardo
🔄
45'
William Pottker ↔ Joao Coni
Londrina
🟨
46'
Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos
Londrina
🔄
60'
Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ↔ Léo Jabá
São Bernardo
🔄
60'
Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva ↔ Daniel Amorim
São Bernardo
🟨
66'
Caio César Rodrigues Souza
Londrina
🔄
69'
Caio César Rodrigues Souza ↔ Tárik Michel Kedes Boschetti
Londrina
🔄
69'
Nino Paraíba ↔ Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado
Londrina
75'
Tárik Michel Kedes Boschetti · Assist: Joao Coni
Londrina
🔄
76'
Foguinho ↔ Fabrício Daniel
São Bernardo
🔄
76'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
82'
Heron ↔ Artur
Londrina
🔄
82'
Guilherme Maciel Dantas ↔ João Vitor
Londrina
🟨
89'
Léo Jabá
São Bernardo

São Bernardo vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
1.78
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 55.9%
Draw 28.8%
Londrina Win 15.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.41
Londrina1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
36 GF / 29 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
16
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
16
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 26 matches
Londrina Londrina 26 matches
São Bernardo Statistic Londrina
9 Wins 5
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 14
36 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 38
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
16 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 10
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.65
12 Total Shots 13.12
4.92 Corners 5.31
49.1% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features São Bernardo's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

São Bernardo Analysis

With 32 points from 25 games and a place of 14, São Bernardo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 22 points from 25 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 29:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 1 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from São Bernardo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.8%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-2-3-1 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 1, draws 3, Londrina wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
11 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
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