São Bernardo vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.9%
|
1.78 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
São Bernardo
Londrina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
26 matches
Londrina
26 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 36 | Goals For | 30 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 13.12 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features São Bernardo's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 32 points from 25 games and a place of 14, São Bernardo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 22 points from 25 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 29:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 1 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from São Bernardo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Londrina
Away
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|