BRAZIL SERIE B
12.07.2026 19:00
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: B. Vasconcelos
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Lucas Rian · Assist: Dudu Miraima
São Bernardo
12'
Marlon · Assist: Pepe
Cuiaba
29'
Alex Alves
Cuiaba
45'
Rodrigo Ferreira · Assist: Daniel Amorim
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Weverson ↔ Jean Dias
Cuiaba
🔄
58'
Echapora ↔ Hyoran
São Bernardo
🟨
59'
Calebe Costa
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
Vinicius Peixoto ↔ H. Pedro
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
Calebe Costa ↔ David Miguel
Cuiaba
🔄
74'
Lucas Rian ↔ Fabricio Daniel
São Bernardo
🔄
74'
Foguinho ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
75'
Pepe ↔ Raylan
Cuiaba
🟨
80'
Augusto
São Bernardo
🟨
81'
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
São Bernardo
🔄
88'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
88'
Daniel Amorim ↔ Lucas Reis
São Bernardo
🔄
89'
Kauan Cristtyan ↔ Rodrigo Rodrigues
Cuiaba
🟨
90+1'
Jean Dias
Cuiaba

São Bernardo vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 42.8%
Draw 20.7%
Cuiaba Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.01
Cuiaba0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
21 GF / 14 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.56
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
2
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 16 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 16 matches
São Bernardo Statistic Cuiaba
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 8
5 Losses 3
21 Goals For 12
14 Goals Against 9
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.56
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 8
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.56
10.5 Total Shots 12.69
3.38 Corners 4.63
45.3% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cuiaba.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 10 with 23 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Cuiaba won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from São Bernardo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-2-3-1 / Cuiaba 5-4-1
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 0, draws 1, Cuiaba wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation