Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
16 matches
Cuiaba
16 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 21 | Goals For | 12 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.56 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.56 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 12.69 |
| 3.38 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cuiaba.
São Bernardo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Cuiaba sit 10 with 23 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Cuiaba won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from São Bernardo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
São Bernardo
3
3
4
4
4
2
Lineups
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
Juventude
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
Londrina
Cuiaba
Avai
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
CRB
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Goias
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Ceara
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Juventude
Cuiaba
Avai
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Goias
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 27 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Cuiaba
Away
|
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | -24 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
L
|