BRAZIL SERIE B
19.09.2026 00:00
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
45'
Romisson ↔ Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva
São Bernardo
🟨
50'
Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva
São Bernardo
🟨
54'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
58'
Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos ↔ José Domingos de Moraes Neto
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
58'
Henrique ↔ Guilherme Costa Marques
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
60'
Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva
São Bernardo
65'
Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🔄
66'
Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque ↔ Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
66'
Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ↔ Daniel Davi Simão Roque
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Fabrício Daniel
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes ↔ João Pedro
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
78'
Guilherme Lopes ↔ Yuri
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
78'
Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira ↔ Matheuzinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
80'
Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva ↔ Marcão Silva
São Bernardo

São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71%
Odds 2.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71%
2.96
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 18.3%
Draw 10.7%
Atletico Goianiense Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.21
Atletico Goianiense1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
39 GF / 31 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
17
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
12
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 28 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 28 matches
São Bernardo Statistic Atletico Goianiense
10 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
10 Losses 6
39 Goals For 36
31 Goals Against 26
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
17 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.46
12.18 Total Shots 14.18
4.86 Corners 5.64
49.2% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Goianiense. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

São Bernardo Analysis

With 35 points from 27 games and a place of 14, São Bernardo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 37:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 7 with 43 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 32:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (8 goals), Soares Geovany (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (3 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Guilherme Lopes (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 1 times, Atletico Goianiense won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from São Bernardo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 1, draws 0, Atletico Goianiense wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
3 28 14 8 6 30:17 13 50
L W D D W
4 28 13 9 6 31:23 8 48
D W W D W
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W W L
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
10 28 10 11 7 37:28 9 41
L W L L W
11 28 10 10 8 33:30 3 40
W L W L L
12 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
13 28 11 6 11 28:34 -6 39
W L L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 28 8 7 13 31:35 -4 31
L L L L L
17 28 8 6 14 29:36 -7 30
D L L L W
18 28 7 7 14 38:39 -1 28
W W L D L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 28 2 4 22 16:62 -46 10
L L L L L
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