Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santos
Vitoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
17 matches
Vitoria
16 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 20 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 12.18 | Total Shots | 10.31 |
| 5.24 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vitoria. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Vitoria in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vitoria having the stronger overall control.
Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 18 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 23:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Barbosa (6 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Gabriel Bontempo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 16 matches, Vitoria have collected 22 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rene (4 goals), Renato Kayzer (3 goals), Diego Tarzia (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Luan Candido (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 10 times, Vitoria won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Santos's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Santos
4
9
1
10
0
3
Lineups
Santos
União São João
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
